Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 3

Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir

0 – 2 Full time

The City Stadium, GlasgowReferee: S. Murdoch

Queen's Park 36%
Draw 29%
Stenhousemuir 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQueen's ParkDrawStenhousemuir
Model17.8%29.4%52.8%
Market41.5%29.4%29.1%
Final35.5%29.4%35.1%
Edge-23.7%-0.0%+23.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Queen's Park ↓ / Stenhousemuir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 15% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir expected goals

Queen's Park 0.73
Stenhousemuir 1.44

Total expected goals: 2.17

Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir attack and defence ratings

Queen's Park

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Stenhousemuir

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir: result vs prediction

Queen's Park 0 – 2 Stenhousemuir

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Queen's Park 35.5% 2.81 -23.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.1% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.6% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 82.2% 1.22 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Queen's Park35.5%
Draw29.4%
Stenhousemuir35.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.9%
Under 2.563.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.7%
No59.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.9%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)64.5%
Handicap -1Queen's Park win5.4%
Push (exactly one goal)12.4%
Loss82.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.2%
1-113.2%
0-012.6%

Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir stats

Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir recent form

newest first
Queen's Park LLDLDL
Stenhousemuir WDLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir going into this match

league record before kick-off

Queen's Park record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 29.4%, away 29.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.20 3.00
1xBet 2.18 3.04 3.20
888Sport 2.30 3.00 3.00
Bet365 2.15 3.25 2.90
BetVictor 2.25 3.13 3.00
Betano 2.12 3.25 3.20
Betfair 2.20 3.10 3.40
Dafabet 2.24 3.25 3.20
Marathonbet 2.16 3.04 3.14
Pinnacle 2.29 3.19 3.34
SBO 2.19 2.90 2.70
Superbet 2.22 3.15 3.15
Unibet 2.12 3.05 3.30
William Hill 2.30 3.00 3.10

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.