Stenhousemuir
vs
Inverness CT
3 – 1 Full time
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT
| Probability | Stenhousemuir | Draw | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 31.8% | 15.1% |
| Market | 25.4% | 27.7% | 46.9% |
| Final | 32.3% | 28.7% | 38.9% |
| Edge | +27.7% | +4.1% | -31.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.84
Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT attack and defence ratings
Stenhousemuir
Inverness CT
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: result vs prediction
Stenhousemuir 3 – 1 Inverness CT
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inverness CT | 38.9% | 2.57 | -31.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stenhousemuir | 32.3% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Inverness CT | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.0% |
| No | 68.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inverness CT win | 3.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.3% | |
| Loss | 84.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.2% |
| 0-0 | 17.1% | |
| 2-0 | 13.0% |
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT stats
Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT recent form
| Stenhousemuir |
WWDLWD |
| Inverness CT |
DDDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT going into this match
Inverness CT record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Stenhousemuir | Inverness CT | League One | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Inverness CT | Stenhousemuir | League One | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-27 | Inverness CT | Stenhousemuir | Challenge Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Stenhousemuir | Inverness CT | League One | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Inverness CT | Stenhousemuir | League One | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-19 | Stenhousemuir | Inverness CT | League One | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-11 | Inverness CT | Stenhousemuir | League One | 4-1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Stenhousemuir | Inverness CT | League One | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Inverness CT | Stenhousemuir | League One | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.4%, draw 27.7%, away 46.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 3.35 | 1.94 |
| 1xBet | 3.71 | 3.24 | 1.92 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.55 | 3.30 | 2.01 |
| Marathonbet | 3.64 | 3.24 | 1.90 |
| Pinnacle | 3.81 | 3.39 | 1.95 |
| SBO | 3.07 | 2.88 | 2.01 |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 3.30 | 2.02 |
| Unibet | 3.85 | 3.30 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.10 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .