Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 5

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers

0 – 2 Full time

11′J. Robertson
48′Z. Delaney
54′A. DowdsG. Oakley
67′Z. DelaneyL. Stevenson
67′P. McMullanD. Easton
68′A. StewartA. Mackinnon
69′L. SoleD. MacKay
78′C. AdamsonS. Brown
79′J. RobertsonC. Telfer
81′C. MacLeodL. Longstaff
81′A. BavidgeM. Bates
81′G. ShinnieR. MacGregor
85′J. Rowe
90′D. MacKay

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, InvernessReferee: L. Hogarth

Inverness CT 38%
Draw 30%
Raith Rovers 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInverness CTDrawRaith Rovers
Model28.2%32.9%38.9%
Market41.6%29.2%29.2%
Final38.2%30.2%31.6%
Edge-13.3%+3.6%+9.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inverness CT ↓ / Raith Rovers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 13% 8% 1 11% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Inverness CT and Raith Rovers expected goals

Inverness CT 0.92
Raith Rovers 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.05

Inverness CT and Raith Rovers attack and defence ratings

Inverness CT

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Raith Rovers

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers: result vs prediction

Inverness CT 0 – 2 Raith Rovers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inverness CT 38.2% 2.62 -13.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score No 58.0% 1.72 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.8% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.8% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inverness CT38.2%
Draw30.2%
Raith Rovers31.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.6%
Under 2.566.4%
Both teams to scoreYes42.0%
No58.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.4%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)61.8%
Handicap -1Inverness CT win10.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss71.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-014.2%
0-113.2%

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers stats

Inverness CT and Raith Rovers recent form

newest first
Inverness CT LDDDDW
Raith Rovers LWWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inverness CT and Raith Rovers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inverness CT record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Raith Rovers record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Inverness CT wins 2Draws 6Raith Rovers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05Raith RoversInverness CTChallenge Cup4-1
2025-07-26Raith RoversInverness CTLeague Cup5-1
2024-07-06Raith RoversInverness CTFriendlies Clubs1-0
2024-04-19Inverness CTRaith RoversChampionship0-1
2024-01-27Raith RoversInverness CTChampionship2-3
2023-12-02Inverness CTRaith RoversChampionship1-2
2023-09-16Raith RoversInverness CTChampionship1-0
2023-04-08Inverness CTRaith RoversChampionship2-0
2023-01-28Raith RoversInverness CTChampionship2-2
2022-10-22Inverness CTRaith RoversChampionship1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inverness CT vs Raith Rovers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 29.1%, away 29.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.25 2.98
1xBet 2.17 3.08 3.19
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.10
BetVictor 2.20 3.13 3.10
Betano 2.18 3.15 3.20
Betfair 2.20 3.20 3.30
Dafabet 2.24 3.25 3.15
Marathonbet 2.15 3.08 3.12
Pinnacle 2.26 3.19 3.40
SBO 2.21 2.92 2.67
Superbet 2.22 3.20 3.10
Unibet 2.30 3.15 2.85
William Hill 2.25 3.00 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▼ -0.17
X 3.10 ▼ -0.10
2 3.11 ▲ +0.33

12 snapshots recorded, from .