Livingston
vs
Stenhousemuir
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | A. Shinnie | ||
| 38′ | E. Danso | ||
| 42′ | S. Culbert | ||
| 44′ | S. Young | ||
| 53′ | R. Muirhead | ||
| 56′ | S. CulbertT. Sinclair | ||
| 56′ | C. PalmerL. Polworth | ||
| 65′ | L. HodgkissE. O'Reilly | ||
| 65′ | L. O'DonnellG. Stevenson | ||
| 77′ | B. van HoevenB. Fati | ||
| 77′ | K. BilhamM. Gillies | ||
| 77′ | F. RobsonO. MacIntyre | ||
| 82′ | A. ShinnieS. Scally | ||
| 84′ | E. DansoS. May | ||
| 90′ | L. Polworth |
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livingston vs Stenhousemuir
| Probability | Livingston | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.3% | 25.9% | 55.7% |
| Market | 64.7% | 21.6% | 13.7% |
| Final | 53.1% | 22.7% | 24.2% |
| Edge | -46.4% | +4.3% | +42.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livingston and Stenhousemuir expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Livingston and Stenhousemuir attack and defence ratings
Livingston
Stenhousemuir
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir: result vs prediction
Livingston 0 – 1 Stenhousemuir
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 53.1% | 1.88 | -46.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 53.1% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Stenhousemuir | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win | 6.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.0% | |
| Loss | 81.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 0-1 | 11.3% | |
| 0-2 | 10.8% |
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir stats
Livingston and Stenhousemuir recent form
| Livingston |
LWLWLD |
| Stenhousemuir |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livingston and Stenhousemuir going into this match
Livingston record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Stenhousemuir | Livingston | League Cup | 0-0 |
| 2023-01-21 | Stenhousemuir | Livingston | FA Cup | 1-3 |
| 2020-11-10 | Stenhousemuir | Livingston | League Cup | 0-4 |
| 2017-04-15 | Stenhousemuir | Livingston | League One | 0-1 |
| 2017-03-21 | Livingston | Stenhousemuir | League One | 1-0 |
| 2016-12-13 | Stenhousemuir | Livingston | League One | 0-4 |
| 2016-08-20 | Livingston | Stenhousemuir | League One | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Livingston vs Stenhousemuir odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 21.6%, away 13.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.40 | 4.30 | 7.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.05 | 7.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.20 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.25 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.44 | 4.50 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.05 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 4.19 | 7.59 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 3.92 | 5.99 |
| Superbet | 1.41 | 4.45 | 6.50 |
| Unibet | 1.40 | 4.25 | 6.50 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .