Arbroath
vs
Livingston
1 – 0 Full time
Arbroath vs Livingston overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arbroath vs Livingston
| Probability | Arbroath | Draw | Livingston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.5% | 35.9% | 28.7% |
| Market | 27.5% | 27.1% | 45.4% |
| Final | 29.5% | 29.3% | 41.2% |
| Edge | +7.9% | +8.8% | -16.7% |
Why Livingston
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arbroath and Livingston expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.77
Arbroath and Livingston attack and defence ratings
Arbroath
Livingston
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arbroath vs Livingston: result vs prediction
Arbroath 1 – 0 Livingston
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arbroath vs Livingston markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 41.2% | 2.43 | -16.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arbroath | 29.5% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Livingston | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.5% |
| No | 64.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win | 9.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 71.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.5% |
| 1-0 | 14.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Arbroath vs Livingston stats
Arbroath and Livingston recent form
| Arbroath |
WDLDLD |
| Livingston |
WLWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arbroath and Livingston going into this match
Arbroath record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Livingston record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Arbroath vs Livingston head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-07-05 | Livingston | Arbroath | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arbroath vs Livingston odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.5%, draw 27.1%, away 45.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.35 | 3.45 | 1.98 |
| 1xBet | 3.36 | 3.34 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.34 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.43 | 3.50 | 2.04 |
| SBO | 3.21 | 3.09 | 1.87 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .