Arbroath
vs
Dunfermline
1 – 1 Full time
| 53′ | A. Amade | ||
| 54′ | M. McKenna | ||
| 62′ | A. AmadeC. Gilmour | ||
| 62′ | Z. RuddenC. Kane | ||
| 67′ | J. Cooper | ||
| 71′ | S. McGillT. Beadling | ||
| 71′ | A. WinterC. Daly | ||
| 80′ | O. Adams | ||
| 80′ | J. BonnarB. Paterson | ||
| 82′ | O. AdamsR. MacLeod | ||
| 86′ | J. CooperK. Bray |
Arbroath vs Dunfermline overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arbroath vs Dunfermline
| Probability | Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 42.7% | 21.2% |
| Market | 34.1% | 30.3% | 35.6% |
| Final | 34.6% | 33.4% | 32.0% |
| Edge | +2.0% | +12.4% | -14.4% |
Why Arbroath
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Arbroath below the model: +2.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arbroath and Dunfermline expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.25
Arbroath and Dunfermline attack and defence ratings
Arbroath
Dunfermline
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arbroath vs Dunfermline: result vs prediction
Arbroath 1 – 1 Dunfermline
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arbroath vs Dunfermline markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arbroath | 34.6% | 2.89 | +2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 86.9% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arbroath | 34.6% |
| Draw | 33.4% | |
| Dunfermline | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 13.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 86.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 21.8% |
| No | 78.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arbroath win | 11.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 29.8% |
| 1-0 | 20.3% | |
| 0-1 | 13.4% |
Arbroath vs Dunfermline stats
Arbroath and Dunfermline recent form
| Arbroath |
WWDLDL |
| Dunfermline |
WLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arbroath and Dunfermline going into this match
Arbroath record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Dunfermline record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
Arbroath vs Dunfermline head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Arbroath | Dunfermline | Scotland Premiership | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Dunfermline | Arbroath | Scotland Premiership | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Dunfermline | Arbroath | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Arbroath | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Dunfermline | Arbroath | Scotland Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Arbroath | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship | 0-5 |
| 2024-03-30 | Arbroath | Dunfermline | Championship | 2-3 |
| 2024-02-17 | Dunfermline | Arbroath | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-23 | Arbroath | Dunfermline | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-28 | Dunfermline | Arbroath | Championship | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arbroath vs Dunfermline odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 29.7%, away 36.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.52 |
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 2.96 | 2.53 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 3.05 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.15 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 2.96 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.82 | 3.10 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.51 | 2.83 | 2.39 |
| Superbet | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.57 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .