Raith Rovers
vs
Arbroath
4 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | G. Oakley | ||
| 15′ | G. Oakley | ||
| 21′ | C. WatsonA. Winter | ||
| 26′ | C. Dewar | ||
| 27′ | J. Rowe | ||
| 45′ | J. Baird | ||
| 47′ | K. Montagu | ||
| 59′ | G. OakleyD. Easton | ||
| 59′ | K. MontaguS. Brown | ||
| 63′ | D. Easton | ||
| 65′ | R. MolotnikovM. McKenna | ||
| 69′ | J. RobertsonA. Lyall | ||
| 69′ | J. BairdC. Fordyce | ||
| 77′ | C. AdamsonK. Turner | ||
| 77′ | J. MacIntyreC. Beattie | ||
| 77′ | R. DowB. Paterson | ||
| 77′ | J. BonnarS. McGill |
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Raith Rovers vs Arbroath
| Probability | Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.2% | 33.6% | 20.2% |
| Market | 56.1% | 25.7% | 18.2% |
| Final | 53.7% | 27.7% | 18.7% |
| Edge | -9.9% | +7.9% | +2.0% |
Why Raith Rovers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Raith Rovers and Arbroath expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.84
Raith Rovers and Arbroath attack and defence ratings
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath: result vs prediction
Raith Rovers 4 – 0 Arbroath
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 53.7% | 1.86 | -9.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 53.7% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Arbroath | 18.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.0% |
| No | 65.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 53.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.3% |
| 0-0 | 17.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath stats
Raith Rovers and Arbroath recent form
| Raith Rovers |
WLWWDW |
| Arbroath |
DWWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Raith Rovers and Arbroath going into this match
Raith Rovers record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Arbroath record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Arbroath | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-10 | Raith Rovers | Arbroath | Scotland Championship | 2-3 |
| 2025-11-22 | Arbroath | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Raith Rovers | Arbroath | Scotland Championship | 3-0 |
| 2024-05-03 | Raith Rovers | Arbroath | Championship | 5-0 |
| 2024-03-01 | Arbroath | Raith Rovers | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2023-12-30 | Raith Rovers | Arbroath | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-13 | Arbroath | Raith Rovers | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Raith Rovers | Arbroath | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-04 | Arbroath | Raith Rovers | Championship | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Raith Rovers vs Arbroath odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 56.1%, draw 25.7%, away 18.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 3.54 | 5.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.70 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 3.54 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 3.68 | 5.41 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.32 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .