Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 6

Dunfermline vs Queen's Park

2 – 0 Full time

7′J. Cooper
18′N. Todorov
28′R. MacLeod
46′N. TodorovT. McDonnell
46′L. LongridgeA. McCallion
49′S. Martin
58′R. MacLeod
61′A. Amade
70′O. AdamsC. Kane
70′A. OyirwothK. Corbally
70′A. AmadeC. Gilmour
72′A. Tod
72′S. MartinB. Brannan
73′M. RuthJ. Hamilton
79′L. StewartC. Smith
82′R. MacLeodS. Kearney
82′J. CooperZ. Rudden
84′S. Cleall-Harding

East End Park, DunfermlineReferee: R. Hardie

Dunfermline 58%
Draw 26%
Queen's Park 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Dunfermline vs Queen's Park overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dunfermline vs Queen's Park

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDunfermlineDrawQueen's Park
Model39.1%38.6%22.3%
Market63.8%22.1%14.1%
Final57.6%26.2%16.2%
Edge-24.6%+16.4%+8.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dunfermline ↓ / Queen's Park → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 24% 12% 1 19% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 76%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 24%

Dunfermline and Queen's Park expected goals

Dunfermline 0.89
Queen's Park 0.61

Total expected goals: 1.50

Dunfermline and Queen's Park attack and defence ratings

Dunfermline

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Queen's Park

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dunfermline vs Queen's Park: result vs prediction

Dunfermline 2 – 0 Queen's Park

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Dunfermline vs Queen's Park markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dunfermline 57.6% 1.74 -24.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80.9% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score No 71.9% 1.39 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.8% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.9% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dunfermline57.6%
Draw26.2%
Queen's Park16.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519.1%
Under 2.580.9%
Both teams to scoreYes28.1%
No71.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.8%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)42.4%
Handicap -1Dunfermline win14.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.7%
Loss60.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.5%
1-018.7%
1-113.3%

Dunfermline vs Queen's Park stats

Dunfermline and Queen's Park recent form

newest first
Dunfermline DWLDDL
Queen's Park WDLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dunfermline and Queen's Park going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dunfermline record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.

Queen's Park record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Dunfermline vs Queen's Park head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Dunfermline wins 4Draws 3Queen's Park wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25Queen's ParkDunfermlineScotland Championship0-2
2026-02-28DunfermlineQueen's ParkScotland Championship1-0
2025-12-13Queen's ParkDunfermlineScotland Championship1-1
2025-10-04DunfermlineQueen's ParkScotland Championship0-0
2025-04-12Queen's ParkDunfermlineChampionship0-1
2025-02-22DunfermlineQueen's ParkChampionship0-0
2024-11-09Queen's ParkDunfermlineChampionship2-1
2024-09-28DunfermlineQueen's ParkChampionship1-2
2024-04-20DunfermlineQueen's ParkChampionship0-0
2024-02-10DunfermlineQueen's ParkChampionship0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dunfermline vs Queen's Park odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.8%, draw 22.1%, away 14.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.41 4.15 6.70
Bet365 1.44 4.00 6.00
BetVictor 1.44 4.00 6.50
Betano 1.45 4.05 6.40
Betfair 1.44 4.33 7.00
Marathonbet 1.40 4.15 6.45
Pinnacle 1.46 4.47 6.79
SBO 1.42 3.83 5.51
William Hill 1.44 4.20 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.44 ▼ -0.09
X 4.15 ▲ +0.27
2 6.50 ▲ +0.81

13 snapshots recorded, from .