Morton
vs
Livingston
1 – 4 Full time
| 25′ | R. Muirhead | ||
| 35′ | L. Polworth | ||
| 43′ | G. Gillespie | ||
| 45′ | R. Muirhead | ||
| 54′ | M. O'Halloran | ||
| 61′ | M. GarrityJ. Gorman | ||
| 63′ | B. van HoevenS. May | ||
| 70′ | C. SandilandsD. Borso | ||
| 70′ | M. O'HalloranS. Bashir | ||
| 72′ | L. PolworthC. MacPherson | ||
| 72′ | B. AndersonS. Pittman | ||
| 77′ | E. Danso | ||
| 79′ | E. BrophyK. Robertson | ||
| 81′ | T. SinclairG. Carey | ||
| 88′ | J. Doherty |
Morton vs Livingston overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Morton vs Livingston
| Probability | Morton | Draw | Livingston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.7% | 31.9% | 36.4% |
| Market | 18.1% | 22.9% | 59.0% |
| Final | 21.5% | 25.1% | 53.3% |
| Edge | +13.6% | +9.0% | -22.6% |
Why Livingston
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Morton and Livingston expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Morton and Livingston attack and defence ratings
Morton
Livingston
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Morton vs Livingston: result vs prediction
Morton 1 – 4 Livingston
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Morton vs Livingston markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 53.3% | 1.87 | -22.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Morton | 21.5% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Livingston | 53.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.4% |
| No | 54.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win | 15.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.6% | |
| 0-1 | 11.5% |
Morton vs Livingston stats
Morton and Livingston recent form
| Morton |
LDLLLD |
| Livingston |
LLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Morton and Livingston going into this match
Morton record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
Livingston record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Morton vs Livingston head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Morton | Livingston | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-25 | Livingston | Morton | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2024-12-07 | Morton | Livingston | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-12 | Livingston | Morton | Challenge Cup | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-24 | Livingston | Morton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-02 | Livingston | Morton | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2018-04-07 | Livingston | Morton | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2018-03-13 | Livingston | Morton | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2018-02-27 | Morton | Livingston | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2017-08-26 | Morton | Livingston | Championship | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Morton vs Livingston odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.2%, draw 22.8%, away 59.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.56 |
| 1xBet | 5.06 | 3.96 | 1.54 |
| 888Sport | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.55 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.30 | 1.52 |
| Marathonbet | 5.00 | 3.96 | 1.52 |
| Pinnacle | 5.05 | 4.38 | 1.59 |
| SBO | 4.94 | 3.66 | 1.44 |
| Superbet | 5.20 | 4.25 | 1.52 |
| Unibet | 5.50 | 3.95 | 1.49 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .