Livingston
vs
Inverness CT
2 – 2 Full time
| 24′ | B. Kabongolo | ||
| 54′ | L. SoleL. Stewart | ||
| 58′ | A. Stewart | ||
| 66′ | B. van HoevenS. Pittman | ||
| 67′ | L. PolworthS. May | ||
| 74′ | A. MackinnonA. Bavidge | ||
| 76′ | A. Bavidge | ||
| 76′ | J. WilkieC. Montano | ||
| 77′ | E. DansoC. Palmer | ||
| 79′ | R. Muirhead | ||
| 84′ | T. Sinclair | ||
| 86′ | L. LongstaffN. Boutin | ||
| 86′ | R. DuncanR. MacGregor | ||
| 89′ | R. MacGregor | ||
| 90′ | R. Muirhead |
Livingston vs Inverness CT overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livingston vs Inverness CT
| Probability | Livingston | Draw | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 30.1% | 25.3% |
| Market | 48.6% | 26.8% | 24.6% |
| Final | 47.5% | 27.7% | 24.8% |
| Edge | -4.0% | +3.3% | +0.7% |
Why Livingston
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livingston and Inverness CT expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Livingston and Inverness CT attack and defence ratings
Livingston
Inverness CT
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Livingston vs Inverness CT: result vs prediction
Livingston 2 – 2 Inverness CT
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livingston vs Inverness CT markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 47.5% | 2.10 | -4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 47.5% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Inverness CT | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win | 21.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
Livingston vs Inverness CT stats
Livingston and Inverness CT recent form
| Livingston |
WLLWLW |
| Inverness CT |
WLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livingston and Inverness CT going into this match
Livingston record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Inverness CT record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Livingston vs Inverness CT head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-12 | Livingston | Inverness CT | Challenge Cup | 2-2 |
| 2023-02-11 | Livingston | Inverness CT | FA Cup | 0-3 |
| 2022-07-12 | Livingston | Inverness CT | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2020-02-08 | Inverness CT | Livingston | FA Cup | 1-0 |
| 2018-04-24 | Livingston | Inverness CT | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2018-01-02 | Inverness CT | Livingston | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2017-11-04 | Livingston | Inverness CT | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2017-09-16 | Inverness CT | Livingston | Championship | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Livingston vs Inverness CT odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 26.8%, away 24.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.34 | 3.71 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 1.90 | 3.45 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.34 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 3.59 | 3.89 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 2.99 | 3.30 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .