Raith Rovers
vs
Livingston
0 – 2 Full time
| 35′ | S. Brown | ||
| 47′ | R. Muirhead | ||
| 60′ | R. Muirhead | ||
| 60′ | J. RobertsonL. Stevenson | ||
| 63′ | C. MontanoJ. Wilkie | ||
| 63′ | B. van HoevenS. May | ||
| 66′ | B. Kabongolo | ||
| 67′ | K. MontaguK. Turner | ||
| 72′ | J. Baird | ||
| 84′ | T. SinclairB. Anderson | ||
| 85′ | S. May | ||
| 90′ | G. Oakley |
Raith Rovers vs Livingston overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Raith Rovers vs Livingston
| Probability | Raith Rovers | Draw | Livingston |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.1% | 23.2% | 14.7% |
| Market | 38.1% | 28.1% | 33.8% |
| Final | 44.1% | 26.9% | 29.0% |
| Edge | +24.1% | -4.9% | -19.2% |
Why Raith Rovers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Raith Rovers below the model: +24.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Raith Rovers and Livingston expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Raith Rovers and Livingston attack and defence ratings
Raith Rovers
Livingston
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Raith Rovers vs Livingston: result vs prediction
Raith Rovers 0 – 2 Livingston
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Raith Rovers vs Livingston markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 44.1% | 2.27 | +24.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 44.1% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Livingston | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.2% |
| No | 49.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win | 38.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.8% | |
| Loss | 37.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.5% |
| 1-1 | 11.1% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Raith Rovers vs Livingston stats
Raith Rovers and Livingston recent form
| Raith Rovers |
DWWLWW |
| Livingston |
DWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Raith Rovers and Livingston going into this match
Raith Rovers record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Livingston record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Raith Rovers vs Livingston head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Livingston | Raith Rovers | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2024-12-28 | Raith Rovers | Livingston | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Livingston | Raith Rovers | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Raith Rovers | Livingston | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-20 | Livingston | Raith Rovers | FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2021-07-21 | Livingston | Raith Rovers | League Cup | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-03 | Livingston | Raith Rovers | FA Cup | 2-1 |
| 2020-01-18 | Livingston | Raith Rovers | FA Cup | 3-1 |
| 2016-05-01 | Livingston | Raith Rovers | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2016-02-20 | Raith Rovers | Livingston | Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Raith Rovers vs Livingston odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.7%, draw 28.7%, away 33.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 3.12 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.15 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.12 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.30 | 2.86 |
| SBO | 2.29 | 3.02 | 2.61 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .