Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 8

Inverness CT vs Morton

2 – 0 Full time

26′P. Allan
46′C. SandilandsL. Fairnie
48′L. Fairnie
50′R. DuncanA. Bavidge
59′I. Wilson
61′S. BashirM. Garrity
66′A. Bavidge
71′E. BrophyD. Borso
74′L. StewartD. E. Osong
84′K. RobertsonM. Carse
87′L. LongstaffD. MacKay
87′A. StewartR. MacGregor
90′A. Mackinnon

Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, InvernessReferee: P. Stuart

Inverness CT 67%
Draw 21%
Morton 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inverness CT vs Morton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inverness CT vs Morton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInverness CTDrawMorton
Model58.9%25.4%15.8%
Market69.9%19.8%10.3%
Final67.2%21.2%11.7%
Edge-11.0%+5.6%+5.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Inverness CT

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.80.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inverness CT ↓ / Morton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 12% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Inverness CT and Morton expected goals

Inverness CT 1.75
Morton 0.80

Total expected goals: 2.56

Inverness CT and Morton attack and defence ratings

Inverness CT

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Morton

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inverness CT vs Morton: result vs prediction

Inverness CT 2 – 0 Morton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Inverness CT vs Morton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inverness CT 67.2% 1.49 -11.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.3% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 41.1% 2.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inverness CT67.2%
Draw21.2%
Morton11.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.1%
Under 2.552.9%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.3%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)32.8%
Handicap -1Inverness CT win34.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss41.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-012.5%
1-112.0%
2-011.9%

Inverness CT vs Morton stats

Inverness CT and Morton recent form

newest first
Inverness CT DWLLDD
Morton LLLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inverness CT and Morton going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inverness CT record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Morton record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Inverness CT vs Morton head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Inverness CT wins 2Draws 3Morton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-25MortonInverness CTLeague Cup0-1
2024-05-03Inverness CTMortonChampionship3-1
2024-03-02MortonInverness CTChampionship0-2
2023-12-30Inverness CTMortonChampionship0-0
2023-12-12MortonInverness CTChampionship2-1
2023-04-01MortonInverness CTChampionship1-2
2023-02-04Inverness CTMortonChampionship2-2
2022-10-28MortonInverness CTChampionship4-0
2022-08-27Inverness CTMortonChampionship0-1
2022-04-23MortonInverness CTChampionship0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inverness CT vs Morton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 69.5%, draw 19.8%, away 10.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.28 4.60 9.30
Bet365 1.33 4.20 8.00
BetVictor 1.30 4.75 8.50
Betano 1.36 4.40 7.90
Betfair 1.30 5.00 9.50
Marathonbet 1.27 4.60 8.80
Pinnacle 1.34 5.03 8.86
SBO 1.31 4.22 7.14
William Hill 1.35 4.50 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 ▼ -0.17
X 4.60 ▲ +0.76
2 8.80 ▲ +2.70

14 snapshots recorded, from .