Arbroath
vs
Queen's Park
2 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | A. Winter | ||
| 15′ | M. Ruth | ||
| 26′ | R. Flynn | ||
| 44′ | R. Molotnikov | ||
| 45′ | R. Lamie | ||
| 63′ | R. MolotnikovM. McKenna | ||
| 73′ | R. DowT. Beadling | ||
| 74′ | O. Fisher | ||
| 80′ | L. StewartT. McDonnell | ||
| 89′ | A. WinterC. Daly | ||
| 89′ | R. McLean | ||
| 90′ | T. Beadling |
Arbroath vs Queen's Park overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arbroath vs Queen's Park
| Probability | Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 39.5% | 21.9% |
| Market | 51.4% | 27.3% | 21.3% |
| Final | 48.2% | 30.3% | 21.4% |
| Edge | -12.8% | +12.1% | +0.6% |
Why Arbroath
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arbroath and Queen's Park expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.44
Arbroath and Queen's Park attack and defence ratings
Arbroath
Queen's Park
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Arbroath vs Queen's Park: result vs prediction
Arbroath 2 – 1 Queen's Park
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Arbroath vs Queen's Park markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arbroath | 48.2% | 2.07 | -12.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arbroath | 48.2% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Queen's Park | 21.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.5% |
| No | 73.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arbroath win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.9% |
| 1-0 | 19.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Arbroath vs Queen's Park stats
Arbroath and Queen's Park recent form
| Arbroath |
LLDWWD |
| Queen's Park |
LLWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arbroath and Queen's Park going into this match
Arbroath record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Queen's Park record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 7 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arbroath vs Queen's Park head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Arbroath | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Queen's Park | Arbroath | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-11 | Arbroath | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Queen's Park | Arbroath | Scotland Championship | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-27 | Arbroath | Queen's Park | Championship | 0-5 |
| 2024-02-27 | Queen's Park | Arbroath | Championship | 6-0 |
| 2023-08-19 | Arbroath | Queen's Park | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Queen's Park | Arbroath | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2023-03-24 | Queen's Park | Arbroath | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2022-12-23 | Arbroath | Queen's Park | Championship | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arbroath vs Queen's Park odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 28.1%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.22 | 4.46 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.40 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.22 | 4.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.39 | 4.63 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.20 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .