Partick
vs
Arbroath
3 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | B. Stanway | ||
| 20′ | B. Stanway | ||
| 25′ | S. Mackie | ||
| 63′ | E. HendersonA. Fitzpatrick | ||
| 63′ | A. SamuelT. Watt | ||
| 67′ | R. DowC. Daly | ||
| 67′ | A. WinterG. Reilly | ||
| 68′ | M. McKennaD. Reid | ||
| 70′ | L. Ashcroft | ||
| 75′ | S. DrozdG. Mackay-Steven | ||
| 75′ | B. DempseyR. Crawford | ||
| 76′ | S. MackieB. Paterson | ||
| 83′ | R. FlynnS. McGill | ||
| 85′ | B. StanwayT. Letsosa | ||
| 90′ | S. Constable |
Partick vs Arbroath overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Partick vs Arbroath
| Probability | Partick | Draw | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.0% | 38.8% | 15.2% |
| Market | 66.6% | 20.7% | 12.7% |
| Final | 61.4% | 25.3% | 13.3% |
| Edge | -20.6% | +18.1% | +2.5% |
Why Partick
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.94 vs 0.43.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Partick and Arbroath expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.37
Partick and Arbroath attack and defence ratings
Partick
Arbroath
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Partick vs Arbroath: result vs prediction
Partick 3 – 0 Arbroath
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Partick vs Arbroath markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 61.4% | 1.63 | -20.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 61.4% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Arbroath | 13.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 15.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 84.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 22.2% |
| No | 77.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.1% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 26.5% |
| 1-0 | 23.0% | |
| 2-0 | 11.3% |
Partick vs Arbroath stats
Partick and Arbroath recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Partick and Arbroath going into this match
Partick record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Arbroath record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick vs Arbroath head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Arbroath | Partick | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Partick | Arbroath | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Arbroath | Partick | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Partick | Arbroath | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-23 | Arbroath | Partick | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-06 | Partick | Arbroath | Championship | 4-0 |
| 2023-11-04 | Arbroath | Partick | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2023-09-23 | Partick | Arbroath | Championship | 0-3 |
| 2023-04-29 | Partick | Arbroath | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-25 | Arbroath | Partick | Championship | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Partick vs Arbroath odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.6%, draw 20.7%, away 12.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.97 | 7.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 4.20 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.40 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.25 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.33 | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 4.86 | 7.46 |
| SBO | 1.37 | 3.96 | 6.09 |
| William Hill | 1.33 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .