Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 10

Livingston vs Partick

1 – 2 Full time

10′C. MontanoJ. Wilkie
17′P. Reading
44′B. van Hoeven
50′B. Anderson
55′S. Drozd
60′A. SamuelT. Watt
62′P. Reading
66′E. HendersonA. Fitzpatrick
67′A. Fitzpatrick
68′T. Watt
70′B. van HoevenG. Carey
83′R. CrawfordT. Letsosa
83′S. DrozdE. Ingram
84′T. SinclairS. May

The Home of the Set Fare Arena, LivingstonReferee: C. Scott

Livingston 36%
Draw 30%
Partick 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Livingston vs Partick overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Livingston vs Partick

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLivingstonDrawPartick
Model26.5%35.0%38.5%
Market39.7%27.9%32.4%
Final36.4%29.7%33.9%
Edge-3.3%+1.8%+1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Livingston ↓ / Partick → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 15% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 18%

Livingston and Partick expected goals

Livingston 0.80
Partick 1.02

Total expected goals: 1.82

Livingston and Partick attack and defence ratings

Livingston

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Partick

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.54 -46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Livingston vs Partick: result vs prediction

Livingston 1 – 2 Partick

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Livingston vs Partick markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Livingston 36.4% 2.74 -3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.5% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 63.4% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.3% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.5% 1.36 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Livingston36.4%
Draw29.7%
Partick33.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.5%
Under 2.572.5%
Both teams to scoreYes36.6%
No63.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.1%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)63.6%
Handicap -1Livingston win8.8%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss73.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.5%
0-115.2%
1-114.5%

Livingston vs Partick stats

Livingston and Partick recent form

newest first
Livingston LWDWLL
Partick WDLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Livingston and Partick going into this match

league record before kick-off

Livingston record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Partick record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.

Livingston vs Partick head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Livingston wins 4Draws 2Partick wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-07PartickLivingstonScotland Championship2-0
2026-07-18LivingstonPartickLeague Cup1-1
2025-05-16LivingstonPartickPremiership2-0
2025-05-13PartickLivingstonPremiership0-2
2025-05-02LivingstonPartickChampionship0-1
2025-02-28PartickLivingstonChampionship1-1
2024-12-13LivingstonPartickChampionship2-0
2024-10-05PartickLivingstonChampionship0-0
2024-02-10PartickLivingstonFA Cup2-3
2017-07-15LivingstonPartickLeague Cup1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Livingston vs Partick odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.7%, draw 27.9%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.26 3.24 2.82
Bet365 2.25 3.10 2.90
BetVictor 2.25 3.40 2.80
Betano 2.42 3.15 2.75
Betfair 2.30 3.60 2.80
Dafabet 2.30 3.40 2.95
Marathonbet 2.24 3.24 2.75
Pinnacle 2.39 3.49 2.90
SBO 2.19 3.09 2.70
William Hill 2.30 3.25 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.28 ▼ -0.02
X 3.25 ▼ -0.05
2 2.80 —

13 snapshots recorded, from .