Livingston
vs
Partick
Garuda Lions Prediction: Livingston
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Livingston vs Partick overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livingston vs Partick
| Probability | Livingston | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.5% | 35.0% | 38.5% |
| Market | 40.2% | 28.0% | 31.8% |
| Final | 36.8% | 29.7% | 33.5% |
| Edge | -13.7% | +7.0% | +6.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Livingston vs Partick match preview
Livingston faces Partick in the Scotland Championship with both teams showing mixed recent form. Livingston's last five matches include two wins and three losses, while Partick has recorded two wins, three draws, and no losses in their last five games. The model suggests a close contest, with Livingston holding a 36% probability of winning compared to Partick's 34%, and a 30% chance of a draw.
The expected goals indicate a slight edge for Partick at 1.02 compared to Livingston's 0.80. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Livingston, with a 12% probability. Both teams have a 37% chance of scoring, and there is a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, reflecting blended probabilities with market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livingston and Partick expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.82
Livingston and Partick attack and defence ratings
Livingston
Partick
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livingston vs Partick markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 36.8% | 2.72 | -13.7% | 2.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 36.8% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Partick | 33.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.6% |
| No | 63.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win | 8.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 73.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.5% |
| 0-1 | 15.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Livingston vs Partick stats
Livingston and Partick recent form
| Livingston |
LWDWLL |
| Partick |
WDLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livingston and Partick season so far
Livingston record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Partick record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Livingston vs Partick head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Partick | Livingston | Scotland Championship | 2-0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Livingston | Partick | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Livingston | Partick | Premiership | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-13 | Partick | Livingston | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-02 | Livingston | Partick | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Partick | Livingston | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-13 | Livingston | Partick | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Partick | Livingston | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-10 | Partick | Livingston | FA Cup | 2-3 |
| 2017-07-15 | Livingston | Partick | League Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Livingston vs Partick odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 28.0%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.26 | 3.24 | 2.82 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.15 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 3.24 | 2.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 3.44 | 2.91 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.02 | 2.68 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .