Ayr Utd
vs
Partick
0 – 1 Full time
| 35′ | O. Smyth | ||
| 45′ | O. Smyth | ||
| 46′ | L. DickT. Hatton | ||
| 56′ | L. McBeth | ||
| 57′ | S. Drozd | ||
| 62′ | E. HendersonA. Fitzpatrick | ||
| 65′ | O. StirtonJ. Landers | ||
| 65′ | O. WhyteM. Rus | ||
| 69′ | B. StanwayT. Letsosa | ||
| 72′ | R. LyonJ. Murphy | ||
| 75′ | L. Ashcroft | ||
| 76′ | T. WattA. Samuel | ||
| 76′ | S. DrozdE. Ingram | ||
| 76′ | E. WalkerK. Shanks | ||
| 90′ | T. Letsosa | ||
| 90′ | A. Fitzpatrick | ||
| 90′ | S. McMann | ||
| 90′ | B. McPherson |
Ayr Utd vs Partick overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ayr Utd vs Partick
| Probability | Ayr Utd | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.6% | 36.3% | 43.2% |
| Market | 19.4% | 24.1% | 56.5% |
| Final | 19.7% | 27.1% | 53.2% |
| Edge | +0.3% | +3.0% | -3.3% |
Why Partick
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.62.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ayr Utd and Partick expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.63
Ayr Utd and Partick attack and defence ratings
Ayr Utd
Partick
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ayr Utd vs Partick: result vs prediction
Ayr Utd 0 – 1 Partick
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ayr Utd vs Partick markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 53.2% | 1.88 | -3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ayr Utd | 19.7% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Partick | 53.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.6% |
| No | 69.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.7% |
| 0-1 | 18.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.5% |
Ayr Utd vs Partick stats
Ayr Utd and Partick recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ayr Utd and Partick going into this match
Ayr Utd record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Ayr Utd vs Partick head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Partick | Ayr Utd | League Cup | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-06 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ayr Utd vs Partick odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.0%, draw 24.0%, away 56.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.64 | 3.76 | 1.60 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 4.75 | 3.80 | 1.62 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 3.65 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.50 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| Dafabet | 4.40 | 3.80 | 1.72 |
| Marathonbet | 4.55 | 3.76 | 1.58 |
| Pinnacle | 5.12 | 4.11 | 1.62 |
| SBO | 3.95 | 3.38 | 1.67 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .