Ayr Utd
vs
Partick
Garuda Lions Prediction: Partick
0 – 1 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Ayr Utd vs Partick overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ayr Utd vs Partick
| Probability | Ayr Utd | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.6% | 37.3% | 42.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 20.6% | 37.3% | 42.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Partick
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.97 vs 0.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ayr Utd and Partick expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.56
Ayr Utd and Partick attack and defence ratings
Ayr Utd
Partick
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Ayr Utd vs Partick markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ayr Utd | 20.6% |
| Draw | 37.3% | |
| Partick | 42.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.9% |
| No | 71.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.3% |
| 0-1 | 19.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
Ayr Utd vs Partick stats
Ayr Utd and Partick recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ayr Utd and Partick season so far
Ayr Utd record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Ayr Utd vs Partick head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Partick | Ayr Utd | League Cup | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-06 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Championship | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.