Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 11

Morton vs Queen's Park

2 – 0 Full time

7′R. Lamie
13′G. Gillespie
34′J. Longridge
34′M. Shiels
37′C. Smith
43′M. Garrity
60′C. PignatielloZ. Mauchin
60′L. LongridgeA. McCallion
60′N. TodorovL. Stewart
66′C. SmithR. McLean
69′D. Borso
70′E. Murray
80′K. RobertsonH. Cochrane
80′M. GarrityM. O'Halloran
86′E. MurrayT. McDonnell
90′A. McCallion

Cappielow Park, GreenockReferee: J. Wilkie

Morton 38%
Draw 30%
Queen's Park 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Morton vs Queen's Park overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Morton vs Queen's Park

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMortonDrawQueen's Park
Model38.4%32.0%29.6%
Market37.2%29.1%33.7%
Final37.5%29.8%32.7%
Edge+1.2%+2.9%-4.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Morton ↓ / Queen's Park → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Morton and Queen's Park expected goals

Morton 1.17
Queen's Park 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.16

Morton and Queen's Park attack and defence ratings

Morton

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.44 +44%

Queen's Park

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Morton vs Queen's Park: result vs prediction

Morton 2 – 0 Queen's Park

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Morton vs Queen's Park markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Morton 37.5% 2.67 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 55.3% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.2% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.6% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Morton37.5%
Draw29.8%
Queen's Park32.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.6%
Under 2.563.4%
Both teams to scoreYes44.7%
No55.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.3%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)62.5%
Handicap -1Morton win16.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss61.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.9%
1-012.1%

Morton vs Queen's Park stats

Morton and Queen's Park recent form

newest first
Morton WLLLLL
Queen's Park WLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Morton and Queen's Park going into this match

league record before kick-off

Morton record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

Queen's Park record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Morton vs Queen's Park head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Morton wins 2Draws 4Queen's Park wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-05Queen's ParkMortonScotland Championship2-1
2026-04-18MortonQueen's ParkScotland Championship0-0
2026-02-21Queen's ParkMortonScotland Championship3-2
2025-12-05MortonQueen's ParkScotland Championship2-1
2025-09-13Queen's ParkMortonScotland Championship0-0
2025-03-22MortonQueen's ParkChampionship2-1
2025-01-25Queen's ParkMortonChampionship1-2
2024-10-29MortonQueen's ParkChampionship0-1
2024-09-14Queen's ParkMortonChampionship1-0
2024-03-30MortonQueen's ParkChampionship2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Morton vs Queen's Park odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.2%, draw 28.5%, away 34.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.40 3.08 2.65
Bet365 2.38 3.20 2.62
BetVictor 2.45 3.13 2.70
Betano 2.57 3.20 2.55
Betfair 2.63 3.30 2.60
Dafabet 2.60 3.25 2.65
Marathonbet 2.40 3.08 2.65
Pinnacle 2.47 3.25 2.92
William Hill 2.45 3.00 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.42 ▼ -0.08
X 3.10 ▼ -0.10
2 2.67 ▲ +0.17

13 snapshots recorded, from .