Queen's Park
vs
Dunfermline
0 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | S. Martin | ||
| 18′ | R. MacLeod | ||
| 43′ | Dunfermline | ||
| 57′ | M. RuthC. Smith | ||
| 58′ | L. StewartT. McDonnell | ||
| 68′ | O. Adams | ||
| 74′ | J. CooperC. Morrison | ||
| 74′ | O. AdamsO. Shaw | ||
| 83′ | S. MartinN. Todorov | ||
| 88′ | A. OyirwothC. Gilmour | ||
| 88′ | A. TodO. Thomas | ||
| 90′ | T. McDonnell |
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Queen's Park vs Dunfermline
| Probability | Queen's Park | Draw | Dunfermline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.0% | 36.1% | 45.9% |
| Market | 16.6% | 23.9% | 59.6% |
| Final | 16.9% | 26.9% | 56.2% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +3.1% | -3.4% |
Why Dunfermline
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Queen's Park and Dunfermline expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.59
Queen's Park and Dunfermline attack and defence ratings
Queen's Park
Dunfermline
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline: result vs prediction
Queen's Park 0 – 1 Dunfermline
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunfermline | 56.2% | 1.78 | -3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queen's Park | 16.9% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Dunfermline | 56.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.6% |
| No | 71.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunfermline win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.5% |
| 0-1 | 20.0% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline stats
Queen's Park and Dunfermline recent form
| Queen's Park |
LWLLLL |
| Dunfermline |
DDDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Queen's Park and Dunfermline going into this match
Queen's Park record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dunfermline record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Dunfermline | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Queen's Park | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Dunfermline | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Queen's Park | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Dunfermline | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Queen's Park | Dunfermline | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Dunfermline | Queen's Park | Championship | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Queen's Park | Dunfermline | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Dunfermline | Queen's Park | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-20 | Dunfermline | Queen's Park | Championship | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 16.7%, draw 23.9%, away 59.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.64 | 3.82 | 1.50 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.80 | 1.53 |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 3.80 | 1.57 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.10 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.00 | 1.56 |
| Marathonbet | 5.40 | 3.82 | 1.49 |
| Pinnacle | 5.82 | 4.07 | 1.55 |
| SBO | 4.83 | 3.52 | 1.48 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .