Livingston
vs
Arbroath
1 – 0 Full time
| 2′ | L. Polworth | ||
| 45′ | B. Paterson | ||
| 54′ | E. DansoA. Denholm | ||
| 55′ | M. McKenna | ||
| 59′ | T. SinclairB. Anderson | ||
| 67′ | S. Stewart | ||
| 69′ | S. NicholsonS. May | ||
| 70′ | L. PolworthB. van Hoeven | ||
| 70′ | T. O'BrienA. Winter | ||
| 75′ | J. MacIntyre | ||
| 80′ | G. ReillyC. Daly | ||
| 90′ | M. McKenna | ||
| 90′ | M. McKenna | ||
| 90′ | R. McGowan |
Livingston vs Arbroath overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Livingston vs Arbroath
| Probability | Livingston | Draw | Arbroath |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.5% | 27.5% | 14.0% |
| Market | 68.8% | 19.5% | 11.7% |
| Final | 66.2% | 21.5% | 12.3% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +2.0% | +0.6% |
Why Livingston
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Livingston and Arbroath expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Livingston and Arbroath attack and defence ratings
Livingston
Arbroath
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Livingston vs Arbroath: result vs prediction
Livingston 1 – 0 Arbroath
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Livingston vs Arbroath markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 66.2% | 1.51 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Livingston | 66.2% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Arbroath | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.2% |
| No | 61.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Livingston win | 32.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.3% |
| 2-0 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.3% |
Livingston vs Arbroath stats
Livingston and Arbroath recent form
| Livingston |
DLLWDW |
| Arbroath |
LLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Livingston and Arbroath going into this match
Livingston record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Arbroath record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
Livingston vs Arbroath head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Arbroath | Livingston | Scotland Championship | 1-0 |
| 2021-07-05 | Livingston | Arbroath | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Livingston vs Arbroath odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.6%, draw 19.6%, away 11.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.50 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.30 | 4.80 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.34 | 4.70 | 7.60 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.35 | 4.90 | 7.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 4.60 | 6.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 5.04 | 8.16 |
| SBO | 1.28 | 4.25 | 6.76 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.60 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .