Partick
vs
Stenhousemuir
3 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | E. Henderson | ||
| 25′ | E. Henderson | ||
| 46′ | R. MeechanL. Lloyd | ||
| 56′ | E. Henderson | ||
| 61′ | A. ShinnieG. Stevenson | ||
| 61′ | F. RobsonM. Gillies | ||
| 63′ | E. HendersonA. Fitzpatrick | ||
| 63′ | T. WattA. Samuel | ||
| 71′ | L. HodgkissD. Carrick | ||
| 72′ | O. SmythR. Crawford | ||
| 72′ | B. StanwayT. Letsosa | ||
| 74′ | L. Grant | ||
| 77′ | L. GrantG. Buchanan | ||
| 82′ | E. IngramC. Logan |
Partick vs Stenhousemuir overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Partick vs Stenhousemuir
| Probability | Partick | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.1% | 39.6% | 22.3% |
| Market | 63.8% | 22.1% | 14.1% |
| Final | 57.3% | 26.5% | 16.2% |
| Edge | -6.4% | +4.4% | +2.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Partick and Stenhousemuir expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.43
Partick and Stenhousemuir attack and defence ratings
Partick
Stenhousemuir
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Partick vs Stenhousemuir: result vs prediction
Partick 3 – 0 Stenhousemuir
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Partick vs Stenhousemuir markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 57.3% | 1.74 | -6.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 57.3% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Stenhousemuir | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 82.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.5% |
| No | 73.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 13.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 25.0% |
| 1-0 | 19.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.0% |
Partick vs Stenhousemuir stats
Partick and Stenhousemuir recent form
| Partick |
DWWWDL |
| Stenhousemuir |
DLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Partick and Stenhousemuir going into this match
Partick record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Stenhousemuir record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick vs Stenhousemuir head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | Scotland Championship | 1-0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Partick | Stenhousemuir | League Cup | 2-2 |
| 2022-07-09 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2021-07-17 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2019-11-16 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | Challenge Cup | 1-4 |
| 2018-07-14 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | League Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Partick vs Stenhousemuir odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.9%, draw 22.1%, away 14.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 4.05 | 6.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.15 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.33 | 7.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.46 | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 4.05 | 6.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48 | 4.33 | 6.32 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 3.80 | 5.90 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .