Partick
vs
Stenhousemuir
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 26% model probability
Partick vs Stenhousemuir overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Partick vs Stenhousemuir
| Probability | Partick | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.4% | 39.8% | 20.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.4% | 39.8% | 20.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Partick vs Stenhousemuir match preview
Partick faces Stenhousemuir in the Scotland Championship with a predicted probability of 39% for a Partick win, 40% for a draw, and 21% for a Stenhousemuir victory. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, which our model estimates at 26%. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Partick recording three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last six matches, while Stenhousemuir has earned three wins and two draws in the same period.
In terms of expected goals, Partick is forecasted to score 0.86, while Stenhousemuir is expected to net 0.55. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is assessed at just 17%, and both teams scoring is projected at 25%. Historically, in their last six encounters, Partick has secured four wins, with Stenhousemuir claiming one victory and one match ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Partick and Stenhousemuir expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.40
Partick and Stenhousemuir attack and defence ratings
Partick
Stenhousemuir
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Partick vs Stenhousemuir markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 39.4% |
| Draw | 39.8% | |
| Stenhousemuir | 20.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 16.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 83.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 25.3% |
| No | 74.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 60.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 14.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.3% | |
| Loss | 60.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 25.8% |
| 1-0 | 19.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.6% |
Partick vs Stenhousemuir stats
Partick and Stenhousemuir recent form
| Partick |
WWWDLW |
| Stenhousemuir |
DLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Partick and Stenhousemuir season so far
Partick record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Stenhousemuir record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
Partick vs Stenhousemuir head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | Scotland Championship | 1-0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Partick | Stenhousemuir | League Cup | 2-2 |
| 2022-07-09 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2021-07-17 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | League Cup | 1-2 |
| 2019-11-16 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | Challenge Cup | 1-4 |
| 2018-07-14 | Stenhousemuir | Partick | League Cup | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.