Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 12

Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT

0 – 2 Full time

14′A. Stewart
22′R. MacGregor
37′A. Stewart
44′J. Rowe
56′A. LyallK. Montagu
64′L. SoleR. Duncan
70′S. Brown
71′J. RoweR. Millen
77′L. StewartD. E. Osong
89′L. Stevenson

Referee: C. Stirling

Raith Rovers 40%
Draw 30%
Inverness CT 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaith RoversDrawInverness CT
Model45.6%30.7%23.7%
Market38.0%29.4%32.6%
Final39.9%29.8%30.4%
Edge+1.9%+0.3%-2.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Raith Rovers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.88.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raith Rovers ↓ / Inverness CT → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Raith Rovers and Inverness CT expected goals

Raith Rovers 1.32
Inverness CT 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.21

Raith Rovers and Inverness CT attack and defence ratings

Raith Rovers

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Inverness CT

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT: result vs prediction

Raith Rovers 0 – 2 Inverness CT

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Raith Rovers 39.9% 2.51 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.2% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.4% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raith Rovers39.9%
Draw29.8%
Inverness CT30.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.9%
Under 2.562.1%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.6%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)60.1%
Handicap -1Raith Rovers win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss54.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-013.3%
0-012.3%

Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT stats

Raith Rovers and Inverness CT recent form

newest first
Raith Rovers DWWLDW
Inverness CT WLWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raith Rovers and Inverness CT going into this match

league record before kick-off

Raith Rovers record

  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inverness CT record

  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Raith Rovers wins 1Draws 2Inverness CT wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-05Inverness CTRaith RoversScotland Championship0-2
2026-04-05Raith RoversInverness CTChallenge Cup4-1
2025-07-26Raith RoversInverness CTLeague Cup5-1
2024-07-06Raith RoversInverness CTFriendlies Clubs1-0
2024-04-19Inverness CTRaith RoversChampionship0-1
2024-01-27Raith RoversInverness CTChampionship2-3
2023-12-02Inverness CTRaith RoversChampionship1-2
2023-09-16Raith RoversInverness CTChampionship1-0
2023-04-08Inverness CTRaith RoversChampionship2-0
2023-01-28Raith RoversInverness CTChampionship2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Raith Rovers vs Inverness CT odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.1%, draw 29.4%, away 32.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.34 3.08 2.73
Bet365 2.40 3.10 2.62
BetVictor 2.40 3.13 2.80
Betano 2.32 3.10 2.95
Betfair 2.40 3.25 2.80
Dafabet 2.42 3.25 2.85
Marathonbet 2.34 3.08 2.73
Pinnacle 2.58 3.22 2.85
SBO 2.25 2.90 2.61
William Hill 2.38 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.06
X 3.10 ▲ +0.02
2 2.80 ▼ -0.08

11 snapshots recorded, from .