Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 8

Dunfermline vs Partick

1 – 1 Full time

13′T. Watt
41′A. Tod
46′C. LoughreyD. O'Reilly
58′G. Mackay-StevenS. Drozd
62′L. Ashcroft
64′B. StanwayA. Samuel
68′K. BrayO. Thomas
68′R. MacLeodJ. Cooper
79′T. WattE. Henderson
79′O. SmythR. Crawford
82′D. Lobban
84′A. AmadeC. Morrison
84′O. AdamsC. Gilmour
90′A. OyirwothO. Shaw

East End Park, DunfermlineReferee: P. Stuart

Dunfermline 30%
Draw 32%
Partick 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Dunfermline vs Partick overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dunfermline vs Partick

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDunfermlineDrawPartick
Model22.6%43.8%33.6%
Market32.9%28.6%38.5%
Final30.4%32.4%37.3%
Edge-2.6%+3.8%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Partick

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dunfermline ↓ / Partick → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 31% 20% 1 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 69%
2+ goals 35%
3+ goals 12%
No goals 31%

Dunfermline and Partick expected goals

Dunfermline 0.51
Partick 0.69

Total expected goals: 1.20

Dunfermline and Partick attack and defence ratings

Dunfermline

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Partick

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.53 -47%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dunfermline vs Partick: result vs prediction

Dunfermline 1 – 1 Partick

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Dunfermline vs Partick markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Partick 37.3% 2.68 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 87.9% 1.14 — —
Both teams to score No 79.0% 1.27 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.6% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.4% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dunfermline30.4%
Draw32.4%
Partick37.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.512.1%
Under 2.587.9%
Both teams to scoreYes21.0%
No79.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.7%
12 (either side)67.6%
X2 (draw or away)69.6%
Handicap -1Partick win10.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss66.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-031.2%
0-119.6%
1-014.4%

Dunfermline vs Partick stats

Dunfermline and Partick recent form

newest first
Dunfermline DDWWDW
Partick WWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dunfermline and Partick going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dunfermline record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Partick record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Dunfermline vs Partick head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Dunfermline wins 3Draws 6Partick wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-15PartickDunfermlineScotland Premiership2-1
2026-05-12DunfermlinePartickScotland Premiership1-1
2026-04-11PartickDunfermlineScotland Championship2-0
2026-02-24DunfermlinePartickScotland Championship2-2
2025-11-25PartickDunfermlineScotland Championship1-0
2025-09-27DunfermlinePartickScotland Championship0-2
2025-04-19DunfermlinePartickChampionship0-0
2025-01-04PartickDunfermlineChampionship1-4
2024-11-02DunfermlinePartickChampionship0-1
2024-09-21PartickDunfermlineChampionship1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dunfermline vs Partick odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.9%, draw 28.6%, away 38.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.82 3.05 2.36
Bet365 2.70 3.25 2.30
BetVictor 2.75 3.20 2.38
Betano 2.82 3.20 2.37
Betfair 2.80 3.30 2.40
Dafabet 2.85 3.25 2.42
Marathonbet 2.75 3.05 2.34
Pinnacle 2.97 3.18 2.51
SBO 2.67 3.00 2.26
William Hill 2.62 3.20 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.77 —
X 3.20 ▼ -0.02
2 2.38 ▼ -0.02

10 snapshots recorded, from .