Dunfermline
vs
Partick
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 30% model probability
Dunfermline vs Partick overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dunfermline vs Partick
| Probability | Dunfermline | Draw | Partick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.9% | 43.1% | 32.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.9% | 43.1% | 32.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Dunfermline vs Partick match preview
Dunfermline faces Partick in the Scotland Championship with both teams showing contrasting recent form. Dunfermline's last six matches include three draws, one win, and two losses, while Partick has secured four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The model probabilities suggest a close contest, with Dunfermline at 28%, a draw at 42%, and Partick at 29%.
The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, occurring at a rate of 29%. Expected goals for both teams are nearly identical, with Dunfermline at 0.64 and Partick at 0.65. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is low at 14%, and both teams to score stands at 24%. Historically, Partick has dominated their last six encounters, winning four and drawing two against Dunfermline.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dunfermline and Partick expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.25
Dunfermline and Partick attack and defence ratings
Dunfermline
Partick
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dunfermline vs Partick markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunfermline | 24.9% |
| Draw | 43.1% | |
| Partick | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 13.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 86.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 22.6% |
| No | 77.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 56.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 9.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 68.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 29.7% |
| 0-1 | 18.4% | |
| 1-0 | 15.2% |
Dunfermline vs Partick stats
Dunfermline and Partick recent form
| Dunfermline |
WWDWLD |
| Partick |
WDLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dunfermline and Partick season so far
Dunfermline record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Partick record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Dunfermline vs Partick head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Partick | Dunfermline | Scotland Premiership | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Dunfermline | Partick | Scotland Premiership | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Partick | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship | 2-0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Dunfermline | Partick | Scotland Championship | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-25 | Partick | Dunfermline | Scotland Championship | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Dunfermline | Partick | Scotland Championship | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.