Queen's Park
vs
Inverness CT
Garuda Lions Prediction: Inverness CT
0 – 1 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Queen's Park vs Inverness CT overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Queen's Park vs Inverness CT
| Probability | Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.4% | 31.7% | 48.9% |
| Market | 16.9% | 25.2% | 57.8% |
| Final | 17.6% | 26.8% | 55.6% |
| Edge | +2.5% | +6.5% | -9.0% |
Why Inverness CT
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.61, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Queen's Park vs Inverness CT match preview
Queen's Park faces Inverness CT in the Scotland Championship with a kickoff scheduled for October 13, 2026. The model suggests a 55% probability of an Inverness CT victory, while Queen's Park has an 18% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 16% probability. Expected goals indicate Queen's Park at 0.71 and Inverness CT at 1.28.
In terms of recent form, Queen's Park has struggled, recording three losses, one win, and one draw in their last six matches. Conversely, Inverness CT has shown more resilience, with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their recent outings. The probabilities suggest a moderate confidence in the outcome, reflected in the confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Queen's Park and Inverness CT expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
Queen's Park and Inverness CT attack and defence ratings
Queen's Park
Inverness CT
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Queen's Park vs Inverness CT markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inverness CT | 55.6% | 1.80 | -9.0% | 1.61 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queen's Park | 17.6% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Inverness CT | 55.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.0% |
| No | 62.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Inverness CT win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 51.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.3% |
| 0-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
Queen's Park vs Inverness CT stats
Queen's Park and Inverness CT recent form
| Queen's Park |
LLLWDL |
| Inverness CT |
WDWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Queen's Park and Inverness CT season so far
Queen's Park record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inverness CT record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Queen's Park vs Inverness CT head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Queen's Park vs Inverness CT odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 17.2%, draw 25.3%, away 57.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.36 | 3.60 | 1.56 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 5.40 | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 3.90 | 1.57 |
| Dafabet | 5.20 | 3.75 | 1.61 |
| Marathonbet | 5.25 | 3.60 | 1.54 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .