Garuda Lions
Today
Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 9

Queen's Park vs Inverness CT

2 – 1 Full time

7′G. Shinnie
18′A. Connolly
41′A. Connolly
46′B. BrannanC. Smith
49′M. Ruth
57′R. DuncanL. Sole
57′R. MacGregorA. Stewart
57′L. LongstaffA. Bavidge
58′L. Stewart
68′M. RuthN. Todorov
68′L. StewartR. McLean
68′L. LongridgeS. Martin
74′L. StewartD. E. Osong
83′A. MackinnonD. Wotherspoon

The City Stadium, GlasgowReferee: D. Nicolson

Queen's Park 18%
Draw 26%
Inverness CT 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Queen's Park vs Inverness CT overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Queen's Park vs Inverness CT

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQueen's ParkDrawInverness CT
Model14.7%29.5%55.8%
Market19.7%24.7%55.6%
Final18.5%25.9%55.7%
Edge-1.3%+1.2%+0.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Inverness CT

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Queen's Park ↓ / Inverness CT → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 18% 13% 1 12% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 14%

Queen's Park and Inverness CT expected goals

Queen's Park 0.61
Inverness CT 1.42

Total expected goals: 2.03

Queen's Park and Inverness CT attack and defence ratings

Queen's Park

Attack 0.54 -46%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Inverness CT

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Queen's Park vs Inverness CT: result vs prediction

Queen's Park 2 – 1 Inverness CT

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Queen's Park vs Inverness CT markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inverness CT 55.7% 1.80 +0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.0% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 64.4% 1.55 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.5% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.2% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Queen's Park18.5%
Draw25.9%
Inverness CT55.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.0%
Under 2.567.0%
Both teams to scoreYes35.6%
No64.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.3%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)81.5%
Handicap -1Inverness CT win28.9%
Push (exactly one goal)26.9%
Loss44.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-117.6%
0-014.3%
0-213.3%

Queen's Park vs Inverness CT stats

Queen's Park and Inverness CT recent form

newest first
Queen's Park LLLLWD
Inverness CT WWDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Queen's Park and Inverness CT going into this match

league record before kick-off

Queen's Park record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inverness CT record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Queen's Park vs Inverness CT head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5Queen's Park wins 2Draws 2Inverness CT wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-04-13Queen's ParkInverness CTChampionship0-1
2024-02-03Inverness CTQueen's ParkChampionship0-1
2023-12-09Queen's ParkInverness CTChampionship1-4
2023-08-05Inverness CTQueen's ParkChampionship1-2
2023-03-18Queen's ParkInverness CTChampionship2-1
2023-01-31Inverness CTQueen's ParkFA Cup0-2
2023-01-14Inverness CTQueen's ParkChampionship0-0
2022-11-12Queen's ParkInverness CTChampionship2-1
2022-07-30Inverness CTQueen's ParkChampionship1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Queen's Park vs Inverness CT odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.7%, draw 24.7%, away 55.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.70 3.78 1.59
Bet365 4.75 3.60 1.60
BetVictor 4.80 3.70 1.62
Betano 4.55 3.70 1.67
Betfair 4.75 3.80 1.67
Dafabet 4.30 3.70 1.76
Marathonbet 4.60 3.78 1.57
Pinnacle 4.65 4.23 1.66
SBO 4.29 3.39 1.61
William Hill 4.50 3.60 1.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.62 ▼ -0.25
X 3.70 ▲ +0.03
2 1.64 ▲ +0.02

26 snapshots recorded, from .