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Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 10

Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park

2 – 0 Full time

31′S. Brown
32′D. Mitchell
33′P. Hanlon
37′S. Crighton
39′M. Shiels
44′A. Connolly
66′K. Turner
76′S. MartinA. McCallion
76′L. StewartT. McDonnell
76′M. RuthL. Longridge
79′J. Rowe
86′K. TurnerL. Stevenson
86′K. MontaguR. Millen
86′A. LyallC. Fordyce
86′M. ShielsB. Brannan
90′E. Murray
90′L. Longridge
90′Z. Delaney

Referee: R. Hardie

Raith Rovers 65%
Draw 23%
Queen's Park 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaith RoversDrawQueen's Park
Model70.3%21.8%7.9%
Market62.7%23.1%14.2%
Final64.6%22.8%12.6%
Edge+1.9%-0.3%-1.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Raith Rovers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.49.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raith Rovers ↓ / Queen's Park → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 17% 9% 2 17% 3 10% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 10%

Raith Rovers and Queen's Park expected goals

Raith Rovers 1.88
Queen's Park 0.49

Total expected goals: 2.36

Raith Rovers and Queen's Park attack and defence ratings

Raith Rovers

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Queen's Park

Attack 0.57 -43%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park: result vs prediction

Raith Rovers 2 – 0 Queen's Park

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Raith Rovers 64.6% 1.55 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 66.6% 1.50 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.4% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Raith Rovers win 44.1% 2.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raith Rovers64.6%
Draw22.8%
Queen's Park12.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.1%
Under 2.557.9%
Both teams to scoreYes33.4%
No66.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.4%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)35.4%
Handicap -1Raith Rovers win44.1%
Push (exactly one goal)26.2%
Loss29.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.8%
2-016.6%
3-010.4%

Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park stats

Raith Rovers and Queen's Park recent form

newest first
Raith Rovers WLDWWL
Queen's Park LLLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raith Rovers and Queen's Park going into this match

league record before kick-off

Raith Rovers record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Queen's Park record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Raith Rovers wins 3Draws 2Queen's Park wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08Queen's ParkRaith RoversScotland Championship1-2
2026-04-14Queen's ParkRaith RoversScotland Championship0-2
2026-01-27Queen's ParkRaith RoversChallenge Cup1-1
2026-01-24Raith RoversQueen's ParkScotland Championship4-1
2025-11-08Queen's ParkRaith RoversScotland Championship2-1
2025-08-02Raith RoversQueen's ParkScotland Championship1-1
2025-05-02Queen's ParkRaith RoversChampionship1-5
2025-03-01Raith RoversQueen's ParkChampionship0-4
2024-12-20Queen's ParkRaith RoversChampionship1-2
2024-10-19Raith RoversQueen's ParkChampionship1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.7%, draw 23.1%, away 14.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.44 3.94 6.34
Bet365 1.45 3.80 6.00
BetVictor 1.45 4.00 6.50
Betano 1.50 3.80 6.10
Betfair 1.50 4.00 6.50
Dafabet 1.47 4.20 6.60
Marathonbet 1.43 3.94 6.05
Pinnacle 1.48 4.24 7.00
SBO 1.44 3.68 5.51
William Hill 1.44 3.90 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.45 ▼ -0.05
X 3.94 ▲ +0.04
2 6.42 ▲ +0.32

13 snapshots recorded, from .