Raith Rovers
vs
Queen's Park
Garuda Lions Prediction: Raith Rovers
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park
| Probability | Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.3% | 21.8% | 7.9% |
| Market | 61.2% | 23.7% | 15.1% |
| Final | 63.5% | 23.2% | 13.3% |
| Edge | +9.1% | -1.9% | -7.2% |
Why Raith Rovers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.49.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Raith Rovers below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.51, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park match preview
Raith Rovers are set to face Queen's Park in the Scotland Championship, with the model indicating a strong likelihood of a home victory at 70%. The expected goals for Raith Rovers stand at 1.88, while Queen's Park is projected to score only 0.49. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 17% probability, suggesting a tightly contested match.
In terms of recent form, Raith Rovers have recorded a mixed set of results with two wins in their last five matches, while Queen's Park has struggled, losing four of their last five encounters. The head-to-head record also favors Raith Rovers, who have won three of the last five meetings, with Queen's Park managing just one victory. Overall, the matchup presents a challenging scenario for Queen's Park.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park attack and defence ratings
Raith Rovers
Queen's Park
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 63.5% | 1.57 | +9.1% | 1.51 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raith Rovers | 63.5% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Queen's Park | 13.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.4% |
| No | 66.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raith Rovers win | 44.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 29.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.8% |
| 2-0 | 16.6% | |
| 3-0 | 10.4% |
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park stats
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park recent form
| Raith Rovers |
WLDWWL |
| Queen's Park |
LLLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Raith Rovers and Queen's Park season so far
Raith Rovers record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Queen's Park record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Queen's Park | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Queen's Park | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-27 | Queen's Park | Raith Rovers | Challenge Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Raith Rovers | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 4-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Queen's Park | Raith Rovers | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Raith Rovers | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-02 | Queen's Park | Raith Rovers | Championship | 1-5 |
| 2025-03-01 | Raith Rovers | Queen's Park | Championship | 0-4 |
| 2024-12-20 | Queen's Park | Raith Rovers | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Raith Rovers | Queen's Park | Championship | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.2%, draw 23.7%, away 15.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 3.82 | 5.92 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.10 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.51 | 4.10 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 3.82 | 5.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.11 | 6.69 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.60 | 5.32 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .