Queen's Park
vs
Ayr Utd
0 – 2 Full time
| 23′ | K. Holt | ||
| 35′ | D. Watret | ||
| 40′ | S. Martin | ||
| 46′ | C. SmithN. Todorov | ||
| 46′ | T. McDonnellL. Stewart | ||
| 51′ | C. PignatielloB. Brannan | ||
| 59′ | B. Brannan | ||
| 62′ | J. Landers | ||
| 62′ | A. McCallionL. Longridge | ||
| 65′ | K. HoltL. McBeth | ||
| 70′ | T. HattonE. Walker | ||
| 71′ | J. LandersO. Stirton | ||
| 84′ | O. WhyteN. McAllister | ||
| 84′ | R. TaylorK. Mitchell | ||
| 90′ | N. McAllister | ||
| 90′ | Ayr Utd |
Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd
| Probability | Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 36.4% | 27.4% |
| Market | 28.4% | 29.3% | 42.3% |
| Final | 30.4% | 31.1% | 38.6% |
| Edge | +7.8% | +7.1% | -14.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Queen's Park and Ayr Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.71
Queen's Park and Ayr Utd attack and defence ratings
Queen's Park
Ayr Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd: result vs prediction
Queen's Park 0 – 2 Ayr Utd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ayr Utd | 38.6% | 2.59 | -14.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queen's Park | 30.4% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Ayr Utd | 38.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.1% |
| No | 65.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ayr Utd win | 8.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 72.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.4% |
| 1-0 | 15.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd stats
Queen's Park and Ayr Utd recent form
| Queen's Park |
LWDLLL |
| Ayr Utd |
LLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Queen's Park and Ayr Utd going into this match
Queen's Park record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ayr Utd record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Queen's Park | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Ayr Utd | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Queen's Park | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Ayr Utd | Queen's Park | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Ayr Utd | Queen's Park | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-04 | Queen's Park | Ayr Utd | Championship | 2-3 |
| 2024-11-16 | Ayr Utd | Queen's Park | Championship | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Queen's Park | Ayr Utd | Championship | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-23 | Ayr Utd | Queen's Park | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-27 | Queen's Park | Ayr Utd | Championship | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Queen's Park vs Ayr Utd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.4%, draw 29.3%, away 42.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.26 | 3.08 | 2.11 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.08 | 2.09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.25 | 3.26 | 2.30 |
| SBO | 3.02 | 3.00 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .