Ayr Utd
vs
Inverness CT
1 – 3 Full time
| 4′ | L. Longstaff | ||
| 19′ | R. Duncan | ||
| 27′ | O. Stirton | ||
| 53′ | A. Stewart | ||
| 67′ | O. WhyteJ. Murphy | ||
| 67′ | T. HattonJ. Landers | ||
| 68′ | A. StewartR. MacGregor | ||
| 68′ | L. SoleA. Bavidge | ||
| 72′ | A. Mackinnon | ||
| 73′ | R. Savage | ||
| 79′ | A. Mackinnon | ||
| 83′ | A. MackinnonN. Boutin | ||
| 86′ | O. StirtonK. Mitchell | ||
| 88′ | S. McMann | ||
| 89′ | R. DuncanD. MacKay |
Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT
| Probability | Ayr Utd | Draw | Inverness CT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.6% | 37.5% | 26.9% |
| Market | 34.5% | 28.4% | 37.1% |
| Final | 34.8% | 30.7% | 34.5% |
| Edge | +1.1% | +9.1% | -10.2% |
Why Ayr Utd
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ayr Utd and Inverness CT expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.62
Ayr Utd and Inverness CT attack and defence ratings
Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT: result vs prediction
Ayr Utd 1 – 3 Inverness CT
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ayr Utd | 34.8% | 2.87 | +1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ayr Utd | 34.8% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Inverness CT | 34.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.8% |
| No | 68.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ayr Utd win | 13.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 64.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.1% |
| 1-0 | 16.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT stats
Ayr Utd and Inverness CT recent form
| Ayr Utd |
LDLDWL |
| Inverness CT |
LLDDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ayr Utd and Inverness CT going into this match
Ayr Utd record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Inverness CT record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-24 | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | Challenge Cup | 1-2 |
| 2024-03-16 | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-06 | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | Championship | 1-3 |
| 2023-11-11 | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | Championship | 3-1 |
| 2023-08-12 | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | Championship | 1-0 |
| 2023-05-05 | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2023-03-04 | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | Championship | 1-2 |
| 2022-11-19 | Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | Championship | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | Championship | 0-1 |
| 2022-04-09 | Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | Championship | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 28.4%, away 37.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.62 | 3.14 | 2.43 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.62 | 3.14 | 2.43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.41 | 2.55 |
| SBO | 2.53 | 2.95 | 2.40 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .