Partick
vs
Ayr Utd
1 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | L. McBeth | ||
| 26′ | C. Loughrey | ||
| 38′ | S. Drozd | ||
| 44′ | D. Watret | ||
| 65′ | O. StirtonH. Landers | ||
| 65′ | O. WhyteT. Hatton | ||
| 68′ | B. StanwayB. Dempsey | ||
| 68′ | R. CrawfordT. Letsosa | ||
| 73′ | D. O'Reilly | ||
| 73′ | T. WattA. Samuel | ||
| 74′ | K. Holt | ||
| 75′ | S. McMannL. Dick | ||
| 75′ | L. McBethJ. Murphy | ||
| 85′ | K. HoltJ. Douglas | ||
| 90′ | A. FitzpatrickC. Logan |
Partick vs Ayr Utd overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Partick vs Ayr Utd
| Probability | Partick | Draw | Ayr Utd |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.1% | 30.4% | 12.5% |
| Market | 60.1% | 23.4% | 16.5% |
| Final | 59.3% | 25.1% | 15.5% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +7.0% | -4.1% |
Why Partick
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.49.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Partick and Ayr Utd expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.84
Partick and Ayr Utd attack and defence ratings
Partick
Ayr Utd
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Partick vs Ayr Utd: result vs prediction
Partick 1 – 0 Ayr Utd
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Partick vs Ayr Utd markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 59.3% | 1.69 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Partick | 59.3% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Ayr Utd | 15.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.8% |
| No | 70.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Partick win | 28.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.3% | |
| Loss | 42.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 20.4% |
| 0-0 | 17.0% | |
| 2-0 | 14.4% |
Partick vs Ayr Utd stats
Partick and Ayr Utd recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Partick and Ayr Utd going into this match
Ayr Utd record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Partick vs Ayr Utd head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Scotland Championship | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-24 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Scotland Championship | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Scotland Championship | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Partick | Ayr Utd | League Cup | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-09 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Premiership | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-06 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Premiership | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-15 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Championship | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-25 | Ayr Utd | Partick | Championship | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-07 | Partick | Ayr Utd | Championship | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Partick vs Ayr Utd odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.9%, draw 23.7%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.56 | 3.85 | 5.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 3.88 | 5.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.75 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 3.90 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.59 | 3.95 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 3.88 | 5.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 4.19 | 5.65 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 3.45 | 4.60 |
| Superbet | 1.59 | 3.85 | 5.10 |
| Unibet | 1.56 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .