Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 5

Queen's Park vs Morton

2 – 1 Full time

22′M. Ruth
29′L. Fairnie
47′M. Ruth
54′S. Martin
60′C. SandilandsG. Savoury
62′N. TodorovJ. Hamilton
62′L. StewartT. McDonnell
69′L. FairnieC. Okike
69′M. GarrityD. Borso
70′R. McLean
76′R. McLeanZ. Mauchin
76′S. MartinA. McCallion
78′Z. Mauchin
79′P. CrokerJ. Gorman
81′M. RuthC. Smith
83′L. Longridge
90′C. Okike

The City Stadium, GlasgowReferee: G. Irvine

Queen's Park 39%
Draw 31%
Morton 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Queen's Park vs Morton overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Queen's Park vs Morton

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityQueen's ParkDrawMorton
Model36.2%36.5%27.3%
Market39.5%29.0%31.5%
Final38.7%30.9%30.5%
Edge-3.3%+7.5%-4.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Queen's Park ↓ / Morton → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 13% 1 16% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 52%
3+ goals 24%
No goals 20%

Queen's Park and Morton expected goals

Queen's Park 0.93
Morton 0.77

Total expected goals: 1.70

Queen's Park and Morton attack and defence ratings

Queen's Park

Attack 0.52 -48%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Morton

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Queen's Park vs Morton: result vs prediction

Queen's Park 2 – 1 Morton

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Queen's Park vs Morton markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Queen's Park 38.7% 2.58 -3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75.6% 1.32 — —
Both teams to score No 66.1% 1.51 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.5% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.8% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Queen's Park38.7%
Draw30.9%
Morton30.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.524.4%
Under 2.575.6%
Both teams to scoreYes33.9%
No66.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.5%
12 (either side)69.1%
X2 (draw or away)61.3%
Handicap -1Queen's Park win13.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss63.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-019.5%
1-015.7%
1-114.4%

Queen's Park vs Morton stats

Queen's Park and Morton recent form

newest first
Queen's Park DLLLDL
Morton DLLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Queen's Park and Morton going into this match

league record before kick-off

Queen's Park record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Morton record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.

Queen's Park vs Morton head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Queen's Park wins 3Draws 4Morton wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18MortonQueen's ParkScotland Championship0-0
2026-02-21Queen's ParkMortonScotland Championship3-2
2025-12-05MortonQueen's ParkScotland Championship2-1
2025-09-13Queen's ParkMortonScotland Championship0-0
2025-03-22MortonQueen's ParkChampionship2-1
2025-01-25Queen's ParkMortonChampionship1-2
2024-10-29MortonQueen's ParkChampionship0-1
2024-09-14Queen's ParkMortonChampionship1-0
2024-03-30MortonQueen's ParkChampionship2-0
2024-02-17Queen's ParkMortonChampionship0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Queen's Park vs Morton odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 28.6%, away 31.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.36 3.30 2.75
1xBet 2.31 3.08 2.93
Bet365 2.20 3.20 2.80
BetVictor 2.30 3.20 2.88
Betano 2.32 3.20 2.87
Betfair 2.40 3.30 2.80
Dafabet 2.43 3.25 2.85
Marathonbet 2.29 3.08 2.88
Pinnacle 2.41 3.26 3.06
SBO 2.23 2.92 2.63
Superbet 2.42 3.20 2.85
Unibet 2.15 3.30 2.95
William Hill 2.38 3.00 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.09
X 3.14 ▼ -0.06
2 2.89 ▼ -0.10

12 snapshots recorded, from .