Scotland Championship · Full time ·Matchday 6

Stenhousemuir vs Partick

1 – 0 Full time

40′R. Meechan
54′S. Young
56′D. O'Reilly
57′B. McPherson
63′T. WattA. Samuel
63′A. FitzpatrickE. Henderson
70′M. Anderson
70′B. StanwayB. Dempsey
72′G. StevensonL. Hodgkiss
72′A. ShinnieH. Kargbo
76′H. Kargbo
80′E. O'ReillyL. O'Donnell
80′M. AndersonF. Robson
83′R. CrawfordT. Letsosa
83′D. O'ReillyG. Mackay-Steven
90′O. MacIntyreG. Buchanan

Ochilview Park, StenhousemuirReferee: S. Murdoch

Stenhousemuir 26%
Draw 28%
Partick 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Stenhousemuir vs Partick overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stenhousemuir vs Partick

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStenhousemuirDrawPartick
Model43.0%34.9%22.1%
Market20.6%25.2%54.2%
Final26.2%27.6%46.2%
Edge+22.4%+9.8%-32.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stenhousemuir ↓ / Partick → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 11% 1 17% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 18%

Stenhousemuir and Partick expected goals

Stenhousemuir 1.07
Partick 0.69

Total expected goals: 1.76

Stenhousemuir and Partick attack and defence ratings

Stenhousemuir

Attack 1.38 +38%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Partick

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stenhousemuir vs Partick: result vs prediction

Stenhousemuir 1 – 0 Partick

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Scotland Championship

Before and after this match

Stenhousemuir vs Partick markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Partick 46.2% 2.16 -32.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.0% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score No 65.9% 1.52 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.8% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.9% 1.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stenhousemuir26.2%
Draw27.6%
Partick46.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526.0%
Under 2.574.0%
Both teams to scoreYes34.1%
No65.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.8%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)73.8%
Handicap -1Partick win6.5%
Push (exactly one goal)15.5%
Loss77.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.4%
1-017.1%
1-114.0%

Stenhousemuir vs Partick stats

Stenhousemuir and Partick recent form

newest first
Stenhousemuir WWWWDL
Partick WDDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stenhousemuir and Partick going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stenhousemuir record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Partick record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Stenhousemuir vs Partick head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

0Stenhousemuir wins 1Draws 4Partick wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-21PartickStenhousemuirLeague Cup2-2
2022-07-09StenhousemuirPartickLeague Cup1-2
2021-07-17StenhousemuirPartickLeague Cup1-2
2019-11-16StenhousemuirPartickChallenge Cup1-4
2018-07-14StenhousemuirPartickLeague Cup0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stenhousemuir vs Partick odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 20.6%, draw 25.2%, away 54.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.50 3.60 1.65
Bet365 4.20 3.60 1.70
BetVictor 4.50 3.60 1.67
Betano 4.35 3.60 1.72
Betfair 4.75 3.80 1.67
Marathonbet 4.40 3.60 1.63
Pinnacle 4.65 3.86 1.72
SBO 4.12 3.30 1.66
William Hill 4.40 3.50 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.40 ▼ -0.20
X 3.60 ▼ -0.02
2 1.67 —

10 snapshots recorded, from .