Polokwane City
vs
Kruger United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Polokwane City
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.69.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Polokwane City vs Kruger United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polokwane City vs Kruger United
| Probability | Polokwane City | Draw | Kruger United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.4% | 35.8% | 22.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.4% | 35.8% | 22.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Polokwane City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.69.
Polokwane City vs Kruger United match preview
Polokwane City faces Kruger United in the Premier Soccer League, with Polokwane City holding a 41% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 36% and Kruger United at 23%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Polokwane City, occurring at a rate of 17%. The expected goals for Polokwane City is 1.02, compared to 0.69 for Kruger United.
In terms of recent form, Polokwane City has struggled with two losses and four draws in their last six matches, while Kruger United has seen a mix of results with two wins and four losses in the same timeframe. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 25%, and both teams scoring is projected at 33%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Polokwane City and Kruger United expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.71
Polokwane City and Kruger United attack and defence ratings
Polokwane City
Kruger United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Polokwane City vs Kruger United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polokwane City | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polokwane City | 41.4% |
| Draw | 35.8% | |
| Kruger United | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.1% |
| No | 66.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polokwane City win | 16.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.3% |
| 1-0 | 17.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.0% |
Polokwane City vs Kruger United stats
Polokwane City and Kruger United recent form
| Polokwane City |
LLDDDL |
| Kruger United |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Polokwane City and Kruger United season so far
Polokwane City record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Kruger United record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They average 0.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.