Siwelele
vs
Orlando Pirates
Garuda Lions Prediction: Orlando Pirates
0 β 2 Predicted score Β· 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.50 vs 0.40.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Siwelele vs Orlando Pirates overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Siwelele vs Orlando Pirates
| Probability | Siwelele | Draw | Orlando Pirates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 3.7% | 13.7% | 82.6% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 3.7% | 13.7% | 82.6% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Orlando Pirates
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.50 vs 0.40.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Siwelele vs Orlando Pirates match preview
In the upcoming Premier Soccer League match, Siwelele faces Orlando Pirates on November 4, 2026. According to our model, Siwelele has a 4% chance of winning, while Orlando Pirates holds an 83% probability of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, with a 17% likelihood. Siwelele's expected goals stand at 0.40, contrasting sharply with Orlando Pirates' 2.50.
Recent form indicates that Siwelele has struggled, recording one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Orlando Pirates are in excellent form, having won all six of their most recent games. The head-to-head record shows Siwelele with no wins against Orlando Pirates, who have one victory and one draw in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Siwelele and Orlando Pirates expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Siwelele and Orlando Pirates attack and defence ratings
Siwelele
Orlando Pirates
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Siwelele vs Orlando Pirates markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando Pirates | 82.6% | 1.21 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.80 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.0% | 1.45 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 96.3% | 1.04 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 61.3% | 1.63 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siwelele | 3.7% |
| Draw | 13.7% | |
| Orlando Pirates | 82.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.0% |
| No | 69.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 17.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 96.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 61.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 17.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 17.1% |
| 0-3 | 14.3% | |
| 0-1 | 13.2% |
Siwelele vs Orlando Pirates stats
Siwelele and Orlando Pirates recent form
| WDLLDL | |
| WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Siwelele and Orlando Pirates season so far
Siwelele record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Orlando Pirates record
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Siwelele vs Orlando Pirates head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Orlando Pirates | Siwelele | Premier Soccer League | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Siwelele | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.