TS Galaxy
vs
Durban City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Durban City
0 – 1 Predicted score · 16% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.72.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
TS Galaxy vs Durban City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: TS Galaxy vs Durban City
| Probability | TS Galaxy | Draw | Durban City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.7% | 30.7% | 50.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 18.7% | 30.7% | 50.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Durban City
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
TS Galaxy vs Durban City match preview
In the upcoming Premier Soccer League match, TS Galaxy faces Durban City with a kickoff scheduled for November 4, 2026. According to our model, TS Galaxy has a 19% chance of winning, while Durban City holds a 51% probability of victory, with a draw at 31%. The expected goals for TS Galaxy is 0.72, compared to Durban City's 1.35, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Recent form shows TS Galaxy struggling with three consecutive losses, followed by two draws, while Durban City has been more successful, winning three of their last six matches. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1 in favor of Durban City, occurring with a 16% probability. Additionally, there is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
TS Galaxy and Durban City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
TS Galaxy and Durban City attack and defence ratings
TS Galaxy
Durban City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
TS Galaxy vs Durban City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Durban City | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TS Galaxy | 18.7% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Durban City | 50.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.3% |
| No | 60.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Durban City win | 25.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.5% |
TS Galaxy vs Durban City stats
TS Galaxy and Durban City recent form
| TS Galaxy |
LLLDWD |
| Durban City |
WWLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
TS Galaxy and Durban City season so far
TS Galaxy record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Durban City record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
TS Galaxy vs Durban City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Durban City | TS Galaxy | Premier Soccer League | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-10 | TS Galaxy | Durban City | Premier Soccer League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.