Richards Bay
vs
Stellenbosch
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stellenbosch
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.01.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch
| Probability | Richards Bay | Draw | Stellenbosch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.2% | 27.1% | 50.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.2% | 27.1% | 50.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stellenbosch
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch match preview
Richards Bay faces Stellenbosch in the Premier Soccer League on November 4, 2026. According to our model, Richards Bay has a 22% chance of winning, while Stellenbosch stands at 51%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest Richards Bay will score 1.01, whereas Stellenbosch is projected to net 1.63.
Recent form indicates Richards Bay is struggling, with four losses and two draws in their last six matches. In contrast, Stellenbosch has two wins, three draws, and one loss in the same period. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 49%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 52%. Historically, Richards Bay has won both of their last encounters against Stellenbosch.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Richards Bay and Stellenbosch expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Richards Bay and Stellenbosch attack and defence ratings
Richards Bay
Stellenbosch
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stellenbosch | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Richards Bay | 22.2% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Stellenbosch | 50.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stellenbosch win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 1-2 | 9.6% |
Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch stats
Richards Bay and Stellenbosch recent form
| Richards Bay |
LLLLDD |
| Stellenbosch |
DWDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Richards Bay and Stellenbosch season so far
Richards Bay record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Stellenbosch record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Richards Bay vs Stellenbosch head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Richards Bay | Stellenbosch | Premier Soccer League | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Stellenbosch | Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.