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K League 1 · Full time ·Relegation Group - 35

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC

1 – 1 Full time

2′Ha Seung-un
45′Park Chang-Jun
45′Kim Jong-SukYu Je-Ho
58′Shin Chang-moo
63′Kim Shin-jinLee Kun-hee
63′Park Chang-JunShin Sang-Eun
63′Lee Chang-MinKang Dong-Hwi
65′Yu Je-Ho
67′Tobias Figueiredo
72′John IredaleMoon Min-Seo
72′Emerson NeguebaEraldo Cinari
78′Ha Seung-unKim Woo-Jin
78′Park Min-JaeRim Chang-Woo
78′Min Sang-giAhn Young-Kyu
85′Kwon Sung-yunJu Se-Jong

Jeju World Cup Stadium , SeogwipoReferee: Kim Jong-hyeok

Jeju United FC 50%
Draw 25%
Gwangju FC 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
52 Possession % 48
3 Corners 2

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJeju United FCDrawGwangju FC
Model40.6%24.2%35.2%
Market53.3%25.0%21.7%
Final50.1%24.8%25.1%
Edge-3.2%-0.2%+3.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jeju United FC ↓ / Gwangju FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Jeju United FC and Gwangju FC expected goals

Jeju United FC 1.80
Gwangju FC 1.67

Total expected goals: 3.47

Jeju United FC and Gwangju FC attack and defence ratings

Jeju United FC

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Gwangju FC

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC: result vs prediction

Jeju United FC 1 – 1 Gwangju FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Relegation Group - 35 fixtures

K League 1

Before and after this match

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jeju United FC 50.1% 2.00 -3.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.4% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.7% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.4% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jeju United FC50.1%
Draw24.8%
Gwangju FC25.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.4%
Under 2.532.6%
Both teams to scoreYes68.7%
No31.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.9%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)49.9%
Handicap -1Jeju United FC win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss59.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-18.4%
1-27.8%

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC stats

Jeju United FC and Gwangju FC recent form

newest first
Jeju United FC DLLLWD
Gwangju FC DWLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jeju United FC and Gwangju FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jeju United FC record

  • They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gwangju FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Jeju United FC wins 2Draws 5Gwangju FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-09Gwangju FCJeju United FCK League 10-1
2026-07-26Gwangju FCJeju United FCK League 11-2
2026-03-01Jeju United FCGwangju FCK League 10-0
2025-11-02Gwangju FCJeju United FCK League 12-0
2025-08-30Jeju United FCGwangju FCK League 10-1
2025-06-18Jeju United FCGwangju FCK League 10-1
2025-04-06Gwangju FCJeju United FCK League 11-0
2024-11-10Jeju United FCGwangju FCK League 10-0
2024-09-22Gwangju FCJeju United FCK League 10-2
2024-06-30Gwangju FCJeju United FCK League 12-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jeju United FC vs Gwangju FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.3%, draw 25.0%, away 21.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.75 3.78 4.30
Bet365 1.75 3.70 4.20
BetVictor 1.73 3.70 4.40
Betano 1.75 3.70 4.30
Betfair 1.73 3.75 4.40
Dafabet 1.83 3.80 4.30
Marathonbet 1.73 3.78 4.33
Pinnacle 1.79 3.87 4.52
SBO 1.75 3.21 3.79
William Hill 1.75 3.50 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.05
X 3.73 ▼ -0.05
2 4.30 ▼ -0.30

10 snapshots recorded, from .