Azam
vs
Mashujaa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Azam
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Azam vs Mashujaa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Azam vs Mashujaa
| Probability | Azam | Draw | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.1% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 74.1% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Azam
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.32 vs 0.65.
Azam vs Mashujaa match preview
Azam is set to face Mashujaa in the Tanzania Premier League, with a strong probability of winning at 74% according to our model. The expected goals for Azam stand at 2.32, while Mashujaa is projected to score only 0.65. Recent form shows Azam with a mixed record of D-W-L-W-W-D, while Mashujaa has struggled, recording L-W-W-L-W-L in their last six matches.
In their last two head-to-head encounters, Azam has secured 1 win and 1 draw against Mashujaa, who has yet to achieve a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Azam, with a 14% probability. Additionally, there is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are given a 44% chance of scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Azam and Mashujaa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Azam and Mashujaa attack and defence ratings
Azam
Mashujaa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Azam vs Mashujaa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azam | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Azam win | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azam | 74.1% |
| Draw | 17.9% | |
| Mashujaa | 8.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.9% |
| No | 56.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Azam win | 51.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 25.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.1% | |
| 3-0 | 10.7% |
Azam vs Mashujaa stats
Azam and Mashujaa recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Azam and Mashujaa season so far
Azam record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mashujaa record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Azam vs Mashujaa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Azam | Mashujaa | Tanzania Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Mashujaa | Azam | Tanzania Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.