Kigezi HomeBoyz
vs
Vipers
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vipers
0 – 1 Predicted score · 20% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.49.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Vipers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Vipers
| Probability | Kigezi HomeBoyz | Draw | Vipers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.8% | 27.7% | 61.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 10.8% | 27.7% | 61.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vipers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.49.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Vipers match preview
Kigezi HomeBoyz faces Vipers in the Uganda Premier League on November 12, 2026. According to our model, Kigezi HomeBoyz has a probability of 11% to win, while Vipers is favored at 61%, with a draw at 28%. The expected goals suggest Kigezi HomeBoyz will score 0.49, compared to Vipers' 1.50. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 20% probability.
In terms of recent form, Kigezi HomeBoyz has struggled, recording six consecutive results of W-L-L-L-L-L, while Vipers has a mixed form of W-L-L-D-W-D. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 32%, and both teams to score is at 31%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kigezi HomeBoyz and Vipers expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
Kigezi HomeBoyz and Vipers attack and defence ratings
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Vipers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Vipers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.5% | 2.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 10.8% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Vipers | 61.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.0% |
| No | 69.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.0% | |
| Loss | 38.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 19.5% |
| 0-2 | 15.4% | |
| 0-0 | 14.7% |
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Vipers stats
Kigezi HomeBoyz and Vipers recent form
| Kigezi HomeBoyz |
WLLLLL |
| Vipers |
WLLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kigezi HomeBoyz and Vipers season so far
Kigezi HomeBoyz record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Vipers record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.