Vipers
vs
BUL
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vipers
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.65.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Vipers vs BUL overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vipers vs BUL
| Probability | Vipers | Draw | BUL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.1% | 31.5% | 17.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.1% | 31.5% | 17.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vipers
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.65.
Vipers vs BUL match preview
Vipers are set to face BUL in the Uganda Premier League on November 18, 2026. According to our model, Vipers hold a 51% probability of winning the match, while a draw stands at 32% and BUL at 17%. The expected goals for Vipers is 1.30, compared to BUL's 0.65, suggesting a more favorable attacking performance by Vipers. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Vipers, occurring with a 17% probability.
In terms of recent form, Vipers have recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, whereas BUL has been in strong form, with four wins and one draw in their last five outings. The head-to-head record shows Vipers with one win and one draw against BUL in their last two encounters, indicating a slight historical advantage for Vipers.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vipers and BUL expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.94
Vipers and BUL attack and defence ratings
Vipers
BUL
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vipers vs BUL markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vipers | 51.1% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| BUL | 17.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.8% |
| No | 64.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vipers win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.3% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.4% |
| 0-0 | 15.5% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
Vipers vs BUL stats
Vipers and BUL recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vipers and BUL season so far
Vipers record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
BUL record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Vipers vs BUL head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | BUL | Vipers | Uganda Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Vipers | BUL | Uganda Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.