Kitara
vs
Blacks Power
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kitara
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.01.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kitara vs Blacks Power overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kitara vs Blacks Power
| Probability | Kitara | Draw | Blacks Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.6% | 25.3% | 20.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.6% | 25.3% | 20.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kitara
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Kitara vs Blacks Power match preview
In the upcoming Uganda Premier League match, Kitara is set to face Blacks Power. According to our model, Kitara has a 55% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 25% and Blacks Power at 20%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-1 in favor of Kitara, which has a probability of 10%. The expected goals for Kitara are 1.80, compared to 1.01 for Blacks Power.
Recent form shows Kitara with a mixed record of D-W-L-L-W-W, while Blacks Power has struggled, recording L-L-D-W-L-L in their last six matches. Additionally, there is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability that both teams will score in this encounter. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kitara and Blacks Power expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Kitara and Blacks Power attack and defence ratings
Kitara
Blacks Power
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
Kitara vs Blacks Power markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kitara | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.4% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kitara | 54.6% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Blacks Power | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.2% |
| No | 45.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kitara win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 45.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 1-0 | 9.7% |
Kitara vs Blacks Power stats
Kitara and Blacks Power recent form
| Kitara |
DWLLWW |
| Blacks Power |
LLDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kitara and Blacks Power season so far
Kitara record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Blacks Power record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.