Express
vs
Blacks Power
Garuda Lions Prediction: Express
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Express vs Blacks Power overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Express vs Blacks Power
| Probability | Express | Draw | Blacks Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.2% | 31.3% | 25.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.2% | 31.3% | 25.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Express
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.91.
Express vs Blacks Power match preview
Express will face Blacks Power in the Uganda Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for November 5, 2026. According to our model, Express has a 43% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 31% and Blacks Power at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Express, which has a 13% probability. The expected goals are 1.27 for Express and 0.91 for Blacks Power, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Express has struggled with a series of draws and losses, recording D-D-L-D-D-L in their last six matches. Conversely, Blacks Power has shown some resilience with a mix of results, including a win in their most recent outing, reflected in their record of D-W-L-L-L-W. Both teams have a 44% likelihood of scoring, while the probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 37%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Express and Blacks Power expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.18
Express and Blacks Power attack and defence ratings
Express
Blacks Power
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Express vs Blacks Power markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Express | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Express | 43.2% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Blacks Power | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Express win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 56.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
Express vs Blacks Power stats
Express and Blacks Power recent form
| Express |
DDLDDL |
| Blacks Power |
DWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Express and Blacks Power season so far
Express record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Blacks Power record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.