Blacks Power
vs
NEC
Garuda Lions Prediction: NEC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Blacks Power vs NEC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Blacks Power vs NEC
| Probability | Blacks Power | Draw | NEC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.0% | 28.9% | 42.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.0% | 28.9% | 42.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Blacks Power vs NEC match preview
Blacks Power faces NEC in the Uganda Premier League, with the match set to kick off on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Blacks Power has a 29% probability of winning, while NEC is favored with a 42% chance. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 10% likelihood. The expected goals for Blacks Power stand at 1.13, compared to NEC's 1.41.
In terms of recent form, Blacks Power has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while NEC has performed better with three wins, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. The probabilities suggest a balanced contest, with a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Blacks Power and NEC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Blacks Power and NEC attack and defence ratings
Blacks Power
NEC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Blacks Power vs NEC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEC | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Blacks Power | 29.0% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| NEC | 42.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | NEC win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 9.8% | |
| 0-0 | 9.1% |
Blacks Power vs NEC stats
Blacks Power and NEC recent form
| Blacks Power |
WLLLWW |
| NEC |
LWDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Blacks Power and NEC season so far
Blacks Power record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
NEC record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.