SC Villa
vs
Blacks Power
Garuda Lions Prediction: SC Villa
3 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
SC Villa vs Blacks Power overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Villa vs Blacks Power
| Probability | SC Villa | Draw | Blacks Power |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 86.0% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 86.0% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SC Villa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.11 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
SC Villa vs Blacks Power match preview
SC Villa is heavily favored in their upcoming match against Blacks Power, with a probability of 86% for a win, while the visitors have only a 4% chance of victory. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 3-0, occurring with a 13% probability. SC Villa's expected goals stand at 3.11, significantly higher than Blacks Power's 0.57, indicating a strong offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
In terms of recent form, SC Villa has shown consistency with a record of W-D-W-W-W-D, while Blacks Power has struggled, recording three consecutive losses before bouncing back with two wins. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 71%, suggesting a high-scoring encounter, although both teams scoring is less probable at 42%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SC Villa and Blacks Power expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.68
SC Villa and Blacks Power attack and defence ratings
SC Villa
Blacks Power
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
SC Villa vs Blacks Power markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Villa | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | SC Villa win | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Villa | 86.0% |
| Draw | 10.4% | |
| Blacks Power | 3.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.2% |
| No | 57.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 89.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 14.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Villa win | 69.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 14.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 12.6% |
| 2-0 | 12.2% | |
| 4-0 | 9.8% |
SC Villa vs Blacks Power stats
SC Villa and Blacks Power recent form
| SC Villa |
WDWWWD |
| Blacks Power |
LLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SC Villa and Blacks Power season so far
SC Villa record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Blacks Power record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.