Kitara
vs
BUL
Garuda Lions Prediction: BUL
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kitara vs BUL overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kitara vs BUL
| Probability | Kitara | Draw | BUL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 27.8% | 42.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.8% | 27.8% | 42.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why BUL
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Kitara vs BUL match preview
In the upcoming match between Kitara and BUL, the probabilities indicate a competitive encounter, with BUL favored at 42%, while Kitara has a 30% chance of winning and a 28% probability for a draw. The expected goals suggest a slight advantage for BUL, with 1.50 compared to Kitara's 1.22. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of BUL, occurring with a 9% likelihood.
Recent form shows Kitara with two losses followed by a win, a draw, and another win, while BUL is on a strong run with six consecutive victories. In their last eight head-to-head matches, BUL has secured four wins, while Kitara has won once, and there have been three draws. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 56% for that outcome, and there is a 51% chance for over 2.5 goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kitara and BUL expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Kitara and BUL attack and defence ratings
Kitara
BUL
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kitara vs BUL markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BUL | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kitara | 29.8% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| BUL | 42.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | BUL win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 57.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 0-1 | 8.6% |
Kitara vs BUL stats
Kitara and BUL recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kitara and BUL season so far
BUL record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Kitara vs BUL head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | BUL | Kitara | Uganda Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-20 | Kitara | BUL | Uganda Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-06 | BUL | Kitara | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-25 | Kitara | BUL | Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2024-03-29 | Kitara | BUL | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-26 | BUL | Kitara | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2021-05-12 | Kitara | BUL | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2021-03-13 | BUL | Kitara | Premier League | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.