Entebbe UPPC
vs
Maroons
Garuda Lions Prediction: Entebbe UPPC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.63.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons
| Probability | Entebbe UPPC | Draw | Maroons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.7% | 28.6% | 14.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.7% | 28.6% | 14.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Entebbe UPPC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 0.63.
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons match preview
Entebbe UPPC hosts Maroons in the Uganda Premier League on October 28, 2026. According to our model, Entebbe UPPC has a 55% probability of winning, while Maroons stands at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Entebbe UPPC, with a 16% chance of occurring. Expected goals indicate that Entebbe UPPC is projected to score 1.50, compared to Maroons' 0.69.
In terms of recent form, Entebbe UPPC has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Maroons has achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss. The head-to-head record shows no wins for either team in their last two encounters, with two draws. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Entebbe UPPC and Maroons expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Entebbe UPPC and Maroons attack and defence ratings
Entebbe UPPC
Maroons
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Entebbe UPPC | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Entebbe UPPC | 56.7% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Maroons | 14.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.4% |
| No | 62.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Entebbe UPPC win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 43.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.8% |
| 2-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 13.2% |
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons stats
Entebbe UPPC and Maroons recent form
| Entebbe UPPC |
WDWDLW |
| Maroons |
WDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Entebbe UPPC and Maroons season so far
Entebbe UPPC record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Maroons record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Entebbe UPPC vs Maroons head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Maroons | Entebbe UPPC | Uganda Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-27 | Entebbe UPPC | Maroons | Uganda Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.