KCCA
vs
Maroons
Garuda Lions Prediction: KCCA
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.74.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
KCCA vs Maroons overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KCCA vs Maroons
| Probability | KCCA | Draw | Maroons |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 29.8% | 18.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.7% | 29.8% | 18.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why KCCA
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
KCCA vs Maroons match preview
KCCA is set to face Maroons in the Uganda Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for November 4, 2026. According to our model, KCCA has a 52% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 30% and Maroons at 19%. The expected goals for KCCA are 1.41, compared to Maroons' 0.74, indicating a favorable attacking performance from KCCA. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 15% probability.
In terms of recent form, KCCA has recorded four wins, one draw, and one loss in their last six matches, while Maroons have two draws, two wins, and two losses. Historically, in their last two encounters, KCCA has one win and one draw against Maroons, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KCCA and Maroons expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
KCCA and Maroons attack and defence ratings
KCCA
Maroons
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
KCCA vs Maroons markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KCCA | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KCCA | 51.7% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Maroons | 18.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.9% |
| No | 59.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | KCCA win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-1 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
KCCA vs Maroons stats
KCCA and Maroons recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KCCA and Maroons season so far
KCCA record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Maroons record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
KCCA vs Maroons head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | KCCA | Maroons | Uganda Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Maroons | KCCA | Uganda Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.