Ntugasaze
vs
Entebbe UPPC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Entebbe UPPC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 20% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.44.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ntugasaze vs Entebbe UPPC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ntugasaze vs Entebbe UPPC
| Probability | Ntugasaze | Draw | Entebbe UPPC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.0% | 26.1% | 64.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 9.0% | 26.1% | 64.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Entebbe UPPC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Ntugasaze vs Entebbe UPPC match preview
In the upcoming Uganda Premier League match, Ntugasaze faces Entebbe UPPC with kickoff scheduled for November 5, 2026. According to our model, Ntugasaze has a 9% chance of winning, while Entebbe UPPC is favored with a 65% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a 20% likelihood. Expected goals for Ntugasaze stand at 0.44, compared to 1.58 for Entebbe UPPC.
Recent form shows Ntugasaze struggling, with a record of L-L-W-L-L-L, while Entebbe UPPC has been more consistent, recording D-W-D-W-D-L. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 33%, and both teams to score is at 29%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ntugasaze and Entebbe UPPC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
Ntugasaze and Entebbe UPPC attack and defence ratings
Ntugasaze
Entebbe UPPC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ntugasaze vs Entebbe UPPC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Entebbe UPPC | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Entebbe UPPC win | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ntugasaze | 9.0% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Entebbe UPPC | 64.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.9% |
| No | 71.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Entebbe UPPC win | 36.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.3% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 20.2% |
| 0-2 | 16.6% | |
| 0-0 | 14.3% |
Ntugasaze vs Entebbe UPPC stats
Ntugasaze and Entebbe UPPC recent form
| Ntugasaze |
LLWLLL |
| Entebbe UPPC |
DWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ntugasaze and Entebbe UPPC season so far
Ntugasaze record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Entebbe UPPC record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.