BUL
vs
SC Villa
Garuda Lions Prediction: SC Villa
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 1.00.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
BUL vs SC Villa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BUL vs SC Villa
| Probability | BUL | Draw | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 30.4% | 42.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.9% | 30.4% | 42.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why SC Villa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 1.00.
BUL vs SC Villa match preview
BUL faces SC Villa in what promises to be a competitive clash in the Uganda Premier League. According to our model, SC Villa holds a 43% probability of winning, while BUL has a 27% chance, and a draw stands at 30%. The expected goals for BUL is 1.00, compared to SC Villa's 1.32, suggesting a slight advantage for the visitors. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%.
Recent form indicates that both teams are performing well, with BUL recording four wins and a draw in their last six matches, while SC Villa has a similar record with four wins and two draws. In their last two encounters, BUL has secured one win and one draw against SC Villa, who has yet to register a win in this head-to-head matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BUL and SC Villa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
BUL and SC Villa attack and defence ratings
BUL
SC Villa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
BUL vs SC Villa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Villa | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BUL | 26.9% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| SC Villa | 42.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Villa win | 20.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-1 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.2% |
BUL vs SC Villa stats
BUL and SC Villa recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BUL and SC Villa season so far
BUL record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
SC Villa record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
BUL vs SC Villa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | SC Villa | BUL | Uganda Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-23 | BUL | SC Villa | Uganda Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.