Kigezi HomeBoyz
vs
Entebbe UPPC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Entebbe UPPC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 23% model probability
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Entebbe UPPC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Entebbe UPPC
| Probability | Kigezi HomeBoyz | Draw | Entebbe UPPC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.3% | 32.7% | 55.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 11.3% | 32.7% | 55.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Entebbe UPPC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.40.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Entebbe UPPC match preview
Kigezi HomeBoyz will face Entebbe UPPC in the Uganda Premier League on October 22, 2026. The model indicates a challenging match for Kigezi HomeBoyz, with a 12% probability of winning compared to Entebbe UPPC's 57%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 21%. Kigezi HomeBoyz has struggled recently, recording three losses and a draw in their last five matches.
In contrast, Entebbe UPPC has shown a stronger form, winning three of their last five games and drawing once. The expected goals for Kigezi HomeBoyz stand at 0.46, while Entebbe UPPC is projected to score 1.32. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are relatively low, at 26% and 28%, respectively.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kigezi HomeBoyz and Entebbe UPPC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.62
Kigezi HomeBoyz and Entebbe UPPC attack and defence ratings
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Entebbe UPPC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Entebbe UPPC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Entebbe UPPC | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 11.3% |
| Draw | 32.7% | |
| Entebbe UPPC | 55.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24.4% |
| No | 75.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Entebbe UPPC win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29.5% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 23.1% |
| 0-0 | 20.8% | |
| 0-2 | 14.6% |
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Entebbe UPPC stats
Kigezi HomeBoyz and Entebbe UPPC recent form
| Kigezi HomeBoyz |
LLLDL |
| Entebbe UPPC |
DWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Kigezi HomeBoyz and Entebbe UPPC season so far
Kigezi HomeBoyz record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Entebbe UPPC record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.