URA
vs
Entebbe UPPC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Entebbe UPPC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
URA vs Entebbe UPPC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: URA vs Entebbe UPPC
| Probability | URA | Draw | Entebbe UPPC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.4% | 33.2% | 42.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.4% | 33.2% | 42.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Entebbe UPPC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
URA vs Entebbe UPPC match preview
URA faces Entebbe UPPC in a matchup where both teams have shown mixed recent form. URA's last six matches include two wins, two draws, and two losses, while Entebbe UPPC has recorded three wins, two draws, and one loss in their recent games. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are 30% for URA to win, 35% for a draw, and 35% for Entebbe UPPC to secure the victory.
The expected goals for URA stand at 0.86, while Entebbe UPPC is slightly higher at 0.97. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with a probability of 14%. Additionally, there is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are given a 37% probability of scoring. The confidence grade for this analysis is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
URA and Entebbe UPPC expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
URA and Entebbe UPPC attack and defence ratings
URA
Entebbe UPPC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
URA vs Entebbe UPPC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Entebbe UPPC | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | URA | 24.4% |
| Draw | 33.2% | |
| Entebbe UPPC | 42.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.3% |
| No | 60.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Entebbe UPPC win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.3% |
| 0-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
URA vs Entebbe UPPC stats
URA and Entebbe UPPC recent form
| URA |
LLLWWD |
| Entebbe UPPC |
WDLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
URA vs Entebbe UPPC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | Entebbe UPPC | URA | Uganda Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-13 | URA | Entebbe UPPC | Uganda Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.