Entebbe UPPC
vs
Police
3 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | S. Munguchi | ||
| 28′ | S. Munguchi | ||
| 45′ | R. Matovu | ||
| 89′ | Entebbe UPPC |
Entebbe UPPC vs Police overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Entebbe UPPC vs Police
| Probability | Entebbe UPPC | Draw | Police |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.8% | 36.7% | 18.5% |
| Market | 40.5% | 31.7% | 27.8% |
| Final | 41.6% | 33.0% | 25.5% |
| Edge | +4.3% | +5.0% | -9.3% |
Why Entebbe UPPC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Entebbe UPPC below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Entebbe UPPC and Police expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.56
Entebbe UPPC and Police attack and defence ratings
Entebbe UPPC
Police
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Entebbe UPPC vs Police: result vs prediction
Entebbe UPPC 3 – 0 Police
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Entebbe UPPC vs Police markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Entebbe UPPC | 41.6% | 2.41 | +4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Entebbe UPPC | 41.6% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| Police | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.1% |
| No | 71.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Entebbe UPPC win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.5% | |
| Loss | 55.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.2% |
| 1-0 | 20.0% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
Entebbe UPPC vs Police stats
Entebbe UPPC and Police recent form
| Entebbe UPPC |
DLWWWD |
| Police |
WDLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Entebbe UPPC vs Police head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Police | Entebbe UPPC | Uganda Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Entebbe UPPC | Police | Uganda Premier League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Entebbe UPPC vs Police odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.5%, draw 31.7%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 2.82 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 2.85 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16 | 2.89 | 3.18 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.62 | 3.25 |