URA vs KCCA overview
Garuda Lions analysis: URA vs KCCA
| Probability | URA | Draw | KCCA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 34.3% | 35.0% |
| Market | 33.7% | 30.6% | 35.7% |
| Final | 32.9% | 31.5% | 35.5% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +3.8% | -0.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
URA and KCCA expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
URA and KCCA attack and defence ratings
URA
KCCA
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
URA vs KCCA: result vs prediction
URA 0 – 1 KCCA
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
URA vs KCCA markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KCCA | 35.5% | 2.81 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | URA | 32.9% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| KCCA | 35.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.2% |
| No | 60.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | KCCA win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 65.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.4% |
URA vs KCCA stats
URA vs KCCA head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | URA | KCCA | Uganda Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-21 | KCCA | URA | Uganda Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-16 | URA | KCCA | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-13 | KCCA | URA | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | URA | KCCA | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-02 | KCCA | URA | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2023-04-19 | URA | KCCA | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2022-11-19 | KCCA | URA | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2022-02-09 | KCCA | URA | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2022-01-08 | URA | KCCA | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
URA vs KCCA odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.7%, draw 30.6%, away 35.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65 | 2.94 | 2.47 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.35 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 2.90 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 2.90 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 2.95 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 2.94 | 2.47 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 3.03 | 2.52 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .